Excelsior vs Go Ahead Eagles Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Van Donge & De Roo Stadion
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.87
Draw
3.73
Away Win
2.38
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles
72'
⚽ Søren Tengstedt (Mathis Suray)
81'
🟨 Tomas Galvez
Alireza Jahanbakhsh 🟨
90+5'
Match Statistics ?
48%
Ball Possession
52%
14
Total Shots
6
2
Shots on Goal
2
7
Corner Kicks
0
6
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Excelsior (4-2-3-1)
S. van Gassel
R. Meissen
C. Widell
J. Plug
K. Bos
L. Hartjes
I. Yegoian
A. Sliti
N. Naujoks
Á. Þorsteinsson
Mario Domínguez
Go Ahead Eagles (4-2-3-1)
J. Cillessen
A. Sampsted
J. Dirksen
J. Kramer
Tomas Galvez
M. Meulensteen
Y. Rahmouni
S. Tengstedt
M. Suray
T. Baeten
S. Sigurðarson
Player Ratings ?
Excelsior
J. PlugD8.0
I. YegoianM7.2
C. WidellD6.9
Go Ahead Eagles
S. TengstedtM8.1
J. KramerD7.1
J. DirksenD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Go Ahead Eagles a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Go Ahead Eagles slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Go Ahead Eagles stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Go Ahead Eagles have managed only three draws and two defeats in their last five away outings, while Excelsior have suffered four losses with just a solitary victory from their last five home matches. Excelsior have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet across that same span. Go Ahead Eagles rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Go Ahead Eagles won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 1 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Excelsior's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. Over the 12-day comparison window, Excelsior's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Go Ahead Eagles's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Go Ahead Eagles a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Go Ahead Eagles win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Excelsior win
Latest market chance 34.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
33.9% → 34.8%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.0% → 25.7%
+0.7 pts
Go Ahead Eagles win
Latest market chance 39.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
41.1% → 39.5%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Excelsior
Draw
Go Ahead Eagles
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
ExcelsiorGo Ahead Eagles
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
10th
11
Games Played
11
1.00
Points/Game
1.27
1.45
Goals/Game
2.09
2.55
Conceded/Game
2.45
10.0
Shots/Game
14.4
3.3
Shots on Target
5.5
Home vs Away Context
Excelsior at home (6 matches) vs Go Ahead Eagles away (8 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
0.88
0.83
Goals/Game
1.62
3.33
Conceded/Game
2.75
17%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Excelsior
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Go Ahead Eagles
Away form
D
D
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Excelsior Wins
1
Draws
1
Go Ahead Eagles Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
Excelsior0 – 1Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles2 – 0Excelsior
Go Ahead Eagles3 – 0Excelsior
Excelsior1 – 1Go Ahead Eagles
Excelsior2 – 1Go Ahead Eagles
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Excelsiorvs
Go Ahead Eagles
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
2.00
2.80
Goals conceded / game
2.70
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 63.6%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.3%→Latest 65.9%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?