Den Haag vs Sparta Rotterdam Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bingoal Stadion
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.54
Draw
3.67
Away Win
2.70
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam
Juho Kilo (Jalen Hawkins) ⚽
22'
50'
⚽ Bas Kuipers (Milan Zonneveld)
Matteo Waem 🟨
52'
Nigel Thomas ⚽
57'
Daryl van Mieghem (Cameron Peupion) ⚽
79'
Match Statistics ?
49%
Ball Possession
51%
13
Total Shots
16
7
Shots on Goal
6
5
Corner Kicks
9
13
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
0
6
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Den Haag (4-2-3-1)
K. Nikiéma
Illaijh de Ruijter
P. Mulder
M. Waem
M. Hokke
J. Kilo
M. Jiménez
D. van Mieghem
E. Rottier
J. Hawkins
N. Thomas
Sparta Rotterdam (4-2-3-1)
M. Brouwer
L. Martes
M. Young
B. Martins Indi
B. Kuipers
Cedric Hatenboer
Teo Quintero
M. van Bergen
S. Mito
I. Babadi
M. Zonneveld
Player Ratings ?
Den Haag
J. KiloM8.2
N. ThomasF7.7
J. HawkinsM7.6
Sparta Rotterdam
I. BabadiM7.2
B. KuipersD7.1
M. ZonneveldF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Den Haag edge defence, giving Sparta Rotterdam a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Den Haag slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sparta Rotterdam stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sparta Rotterdam have shown resilience on their travels with two wins and a draw from five away outings, while Den Haag have struggled at home with just one victory and three defeats in the same number of matches. Den Haag have found the net in all five of their home fixtures but remain vulnerable at the back, having failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Sparta Rotterdam rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Den Haag hold a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 12-day comparison window, Den Haag's implied win probability has fallen by 2.2 percentage points, while Sparta Rotterdam's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Sparta Rotterdam a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Den Haag
Den Haag's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Den Haag win as less likely than it did 12 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Den Haag win
Latest market chance 38.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
40.3% → 38.1%
−2.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.3%
+0.3 pts
Sparta Rotterdam win
Latest market chance 35.5%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
33.7% → 35.5%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Den Haag
Draw
Sparta Rotterdam
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Den HaagSparta Rotterdam
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
11th
11
Games Played
11
0.55
Points/Game
1.09
1.18
Goals/Game
1.82
2.18
Conceded/Game
2.36
12.3
Shots/Game
13.9
3.8
Shots on Target
5.1
Home vs Away Context
Den Haag at home (6 matches) vs Sparta Rotterdam away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.17
1.83
Goals/Game
2.00
2.17
Conceded/Game
2.50
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Den Haag
Home form
L
L
D
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sparta Rotterdam
Away form
W
L
L
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Den Haag Wins
0
Draws
1
Sparta Rotterdam Wins
4
Avg Goals
4.0
Den Haag1 – 1Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam6 – 0Den Haag
Sparta Rotterdam4 – 2Den Haag
Den Haag1 – 2Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam2 – 1Den Haag
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Den Haagvs
Sparta Rotterdam
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
2.00
2.20
Goals conceded / game
2.50
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
9/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.7%→Latest 60.1%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 62.9%+0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?