Den Haag vs Heerenveen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Bingoal Stadion
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.50
Draw
3.86
Away Win
2.02
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Den Haag
Heerenveen
24'
⚽ Jacob Trenskow (Maxence Rivera)
51'
⚽ Ringo Meerveld (Oliver Johansen Braude)
Nigel Thomas ⚽
57'
Yannick Fereira Eduardo 🟨
59'
66'
⚽ Jacob Trenskow (Maxence Rivera)
Nigel Thomas (Evan Rottier) ⚽
72'
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
23
Total Shots
15
7
Shots on Goal
5
8
Corner Kicks
2
19
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Den Haag (4-4-2)
K. Nikiéma
J. Jensen-Abbew
P. Mulder
M. Waem
S. Sylla
J. Hawkins
M. Šín
J. Kilo
E. Rottier
J. Bal
Y. Eduardo
Heerenveen (4-2-3-1)
B. Klaverboer
O. Braude
S. Kersten
M. Willemsen
V. Zagaritis
M. Linday
N. Courtens
J. Trenskow
R. Meerveld
M. Rivera
D. Vente
Player Ratings ?
Den Haag
N. ThomasF8.2
E. RottierM7.0
D. van MieghemF6.8
Heerenveen
J. TrenskowM9.2
M. RiveraM8.6
R. MeerveldM8.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Heerenveen
Heerenveen rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Heerenveen a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Heerenveen stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Heerenveen have secured just one victory in their last five away outings, while Den Haag have lost three of their last five matches at home. Den Haag have found the net in all five of their recent home fixtures but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. The hosts face one confirmed absence and another player under doubt, whereas Heerenveen enter the contest with no certain absences but also carry a doubtful concern. Heerenveen rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 12-day comparison window, Den Haag's implied win probability has fallen by 1.3 percentage points, while Heerenveen's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Heerenveen a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Den Haag
Den Haag's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Den Haag win as less likely than it did 12 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion. Heerenveen remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Den Haag win
Latest market chance 28.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
29.9% → 28.5%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.4% → 24.7%
+0.3 pts
Heerenveen win
Latest market chance 46.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
45.7% → 46.7%
+1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Den Haag
Draw
Heerenveen
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 12 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Den HaagHeerenveen
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
9th
9
Games Played
9
0.67
Points/Game
1.33
1.22
Goals/Game
1.67
2.22
Conceded/Game
1.22
12.3
Shots/Game
15.0
3.8
Shots on Target
5.8
Home vs Away Context
Den Haag at home (6 matches) vs Heerenveen away (6 matches)
1.17
Points/Game
1.33
1.83
Goals/Game
1.83
2.17
Conceded/Game
1.67
33%
Win Rate
33%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Den Haag
Home form
L
L
L
D
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Heerenveen
Away form
D
D
W
L
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Den Haag Wins
0
Draws
3
Heerenveen Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Heerenveen3 – 0Den Haag
Den Haag1 – 1Heerenveen
Heerenveen2 – 2Den Haag
Den Haag1 – 1Heerenveen
Den Haag2 – 3Heerenveen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Den Haagvs
Heerenveen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.50
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
3/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.1%→Latest 64.2%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 64.3%→Latest 65.6%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Den Haag's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?