Cambuur vs PSV Eindhoven Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kooi Stadion
Sun 08 Nov 2026 · 15:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.46
Draw
6.01
Away Win
1.39
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 5
Match Events ?
Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven
1'
⚽ Sven Mijnans (Esmir Bajraktarević)
15'
⚽ Sven Mijnans (Ruben van Bommel)
19'
⚽ Ruben van Bommel (Esmir Bajraktarević)
Nicky Souren ⚽
41'
Mathieu Maertens 🟨
55'
63'
🟨 Sven Mijnans
Morgan Costarelli 🟨
66'
Rafik El Arguioui 🟨
68'
72'
🟨 Sergiño Dest
Iwan Henstra (Rafik El Arguioui) ⚽
78'
80'
⚽ Sven Mijnans
90+2'
⚽ Ayoni Santos (Kodai Sano)
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
10
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
7
1
Corner Kicks
1
11
Fouls
19
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Cambuur (4-3-3)
T. Jansen
D. Bouah
I. Baouf
B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli
M. Maertens
N. Souren
R. El Arguioui
J. Çeka
N. Binder
I. Hamache
PSV Eindhoven (4-2-3-1)
M. Kovář
S. Dest
L. Geertruida
A. Obispo
F. Kostić
K. Sano
Mauro Júnior
E. Bajraktarevic
S. Mijnans
R. van Bommel
G. Til
Player Ratings ?
Cambuur
N. SourenM7.6
Iwan HenstraF7.2
S. BouhoudaneF6.8
PSV Eindhoven
S. MijnansM9.0
R. van BommelM8.0
E. BajraktarevicM7.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. PSV Eindhoven edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Attack
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Defence
PSV Eindhoven slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
PSV Eindhoven stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
PSV Eindhoven have recorded three wins from their last five away fixtures, whereas Cambuur have secured two victories and one draw in their last five home outings. Cambuur have found the net in all of their last five home matches while also keeping two clean sheets during that same period. PSV Eindhoven rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. PSV Eindhoven won the most recent meeting 5-2 on 12 March 2023, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Cambuur's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.2 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Cambuur's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while PSV Eindhoven's implied win probability has fallen by 3.3 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a PSV Eindhoven win as less likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cambuur win
Latest market chance 14.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
12.1% → 14.8%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
16.5% → 17.1%
+0.6 pts
PSV Eindhoven win
Latest market chance 68.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
71.4% → 68.1%
−3.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cambuur
Draw
PSV Eindhoven
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CambuurPSV Eindhoven
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
3rd
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
2.09
2.09
Goals/Game
3.18
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.18
12.6
Shots/Game
19.3
5.0
Shots on Target
7.2
Home vs Away Context
Cambuur at home (7 matches) vs PSV Eindhoven away (6 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
2.00
2.00
Goals/Game
3.17
2.86
Conceded/Game
1.67
29%
Win Rate
67%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cambuur
Home form
L
L
W
D
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
PSV Eindhoven
Away form
W
W
W
L
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cambuur Wins
1
Draws
0
PSV Eindhoven Wins
4
Avg Goals
5.2
PSV Eindhoven5 – 2Cambuur
Cambuur3 – 0PSV Eindhoven
Cambuur1 – 2PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven4 – 1Cambuur
PSV Eindhoven6 – 2Cambuur
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cambuurvs
PSV Eindhoven
Recent Scoring Profile
2.30
Goals scored / game
3.30
1.80
Goals conceded / game
1.00
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
0/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 76.2%→Latest 74.0%−2.2 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.0%→Latest 65.2%+0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?