Cambuur vs AZ Alkmaar Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Kooi Stadion
Sun 18 Oct 2026 · 13:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
6.02
Draw
4.97
Away Win
1.49
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 2
Match Events ?
Cambuur
AZ Alkmaar
Nicolas Binder (Jason Ceka) ⚽
7'
10'
🟨 Lewis Schouten
Devid Eugene Bouah 🟨
24'
26'
⚽ Ro Zangelo Daal (Peer Koopmeiners)
Ilyes Hamache (Billy van Duijl) ⚽
39'
Devid Eugene Bouah 🟥
53'
59'
🟨 Ayoub Oufkir
Johan Plat 🟨
81'
Thijs Jansen 🟨
82'
83'
⚽ (P) Mexx Meerdink
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
11
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
4
3
Corner Kicks
6
11
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
1
Red Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Cambuur (4-2-3-1)
T. Jansen
D. Bouah
I. Baouf
B. van Duijl
M. Costarelli
M. Maertens
N. Souren
J. Çeka
R. El Arguioui
I. Hamache
N. Binder
AZ Alkmaar (4-2-3-1)
J. De Busser
E. Dijkstra
W. Goes
L. Schouten
M. Chávez
J. Clasie
P. Koopmeiners
A. Oufkir
C. Stengs
R. Daal
M. Meerdink
Player Ratings ?
Cambuur
N. BinderF8.2
I. HamacheM7.5
J. ÇekaM7.4
AZ Alkmaar
P. KoopmeinersM7.7
R. DaalM7.5
M. MeerdinkF7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving AZ Alkmaar an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Attack
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Defence
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
AZ Alkmaar stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
AZ Alkmaar have secured three victories from their last five away fixtures, while Cambuur have won just two of their last five home outings. Cambuur have found the net in four of their last five matches at home, yet they have only kept two clean sheets during that same period. Cambuur face two confirmed absences alongside one doubtful player, whereas AZ Alkmaar will be without three players but have no doubts regarding their remaining squad. AZ Alkmaar rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. AZ Alkmaar won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 25 February 2023, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Cambuur's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 14-day comparison window, Cambuur's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points, while AZ Alkmaar's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours AZ Alkmaar.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a AZ Alkmaar win as less likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cambuur win
Latest market chance 15.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
12.9% → 15.6%
+2.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 20.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
18.5% → 20.0%
+1.5 pts
AZ Alkmaar win
Latest market chance 64.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
68.6% → 64.4%
−4.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cambuur
Draw
AZ Alkmaar
4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CambuurAZ Alkmaar
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
3rd
8
Games Played
8
1.00
Points/Game
2.38
1.38
Goals/Game
2.25
2.38
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.6
Shots/Game
17.2
5.0
Shots on Target
6.2
Home vs Away Context
Cambuur at home (7 matches) vs AZ Alkmaar away (6 matches)
1.00
Points/Game
1.67
2.00
Goals/Game
1.83
2.86
Conceded/Game
1.33
29%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cambuur
Home form
W
L
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
AZ Alkmaar
Away form
D
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cambuur Wins
0
Draws
1
AZ Alkmaar Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
AZ Alkmaar2 – 1Cambuur
Cambuur0 – 1AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar0 – 0Cambuur
Cambuur1 – 3AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar3 – 1Cambuur
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cambuurvs
AZ Alkmaar
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.20
2.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.6%→Latest 67.0%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.8%→Latest 62.1%+2.3 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Cambuur's 10 matches and 2 of AZ Alkmaar's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?