Ajax vs Den Haag Head to Head | Eredivisie

Match Prediction

Data favours

Ajax

Ajax rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Ajax an edge.

Leads 4 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Ajax stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Ajax stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Ajax stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Ajax stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Ajax win

Latest market chance 80.3%

Steady

Market view unchanged

80.3% → 80.3%

±0.0 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 12.3%

Steady

Market view unchanged

12.3% → 12.3%

±0.0 pts

Den Haag win

Latest market chance 7.4%

Steady

Market view unchanged

7.4% → 7.4%

±0.0 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Ajax

Draw

Den Haag

4 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Ajax

Den Haag

Season Profile

This season

3rd

League Position

17th

Games Played

2.08

Points/Game

0.75

2.67

Goals/Game

1.33

1.25

Conceded/Game

2.08

19.8

Shots/Game

12.3

6.7

Shots on Target

3.8

Home vs Away Context

Ajax at home (6 matches) vs Den Haag away (6 matches)

1.50

Points/Game

0.33

2.00

Goals/Game

0.83

1.50

Conceded/Game

2.00

33%

Win Rate

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Ajax

Home form

2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Den Haag

Away form

Winless in last 5 away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Ajax Wins

Draws

Den Haag Wins

Avg Goals

5.2

2021-03-212020-2021

Ajax5 – 0Den Haag

2020-12-202020-2021

Den Haag2 – 4Ajax

2019-12-222019-2020

Ajax6 – 1Den Haag

2019-10-062019-2020

Den Haag0 – 2Ajax

2019-02-242018-2019

Den Haag1 – 5Ajax

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Ajax

Den Haag

Recent Scoring Profile

2.80

Goals scored / game

1.50

1.30

Goals conceded / game

1.90

8/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

8/10

0/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

88.1%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

73.6%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

55.5%

BTTSBoth teams score

54.3%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 4 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 73.6%→Latest 73.6%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 54.2%→Latest 54.2%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 20 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.

Match Poll

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Ajax vs Den Haag Head to Head, Prediction