Wrexham vs Wolves Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Racecourse Ground
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.43
Draw
3.50
Away Win
2.20
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Wrexham
Wolves
25'
⚽ Adam Armstrong (Yacouba Nasser Djiga)
Lewis O'Brien (Issa Kabore) ⚽
27'
30'
🟨 Toti Gomes
Jacques Ekomié 🟨
54'
61'
🟨 André
Philip John Parkinson 🟨
61'
Matty James 🟨
86'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
6
Total Shots
22
3
Shots on Goal
5
2
Corner Kicks
7
12
Fouls
13
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Wrexham (3-5-1-1)
A. Patterson
M. Cleworth
J. Worrall
C. Doyle
I. Kaboré
G. Dobson
B. Whiteman
O. Rathbone
J. Ekomié
L. O'Brien
K. Moore
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
José Sá
J. Tchatchoua
N. Djiga
L. Krejčí
Toti Gomes
André
M. Munetsi
Rodrigo Gomes
Fer López
M. Mane
A. Armstrong
Player Ratings ?
Wrexham
L. O'BrienM7.6
O. RathboneM7.1
I. KaboréM7.0
Wolves
A. ArmstrongF8.2
N. DjigaD7.4
Fer LópezM7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wolves edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolves slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Wolves have secured three wins from their last five away outings, while Wrexham have also managed three victories in their last five home fixtures. At home, Wrexham have scored in five of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. Wolves rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack. Over the 4-day comparison window, Wrexham's implied win probability has fallen by 2.0 percentage points, while Wolves's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Wrexham
Wrexham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wrexham win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Wolves remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wrexham win
Latest market chance 28.4%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
31.7% → 28.4%
−3.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.0% → 28.0%
+1.0 pts
Wolves win
Latest market chance 43.6%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
41.3% → 43.6%
+2.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wrexham
Draw
Wolves
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WrexhamWolves
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
3rd
14
Games Played
14
1.21
Points/Game
1.93
1.21
Goals/Game
1.79
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.21
12.0
Shots/Game
16.9
3.4
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Wrexham at home (8 matches) vs Wolves away (8 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.75
1.62
Goals/Game
1.62
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.38
38%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wrexham
Home form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wolves
Away form
D
W
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between Wrexham and Wolves.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wrexhamvs
Wolves
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.50
Goals conceded / game
0.80
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 49.6%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 54.1%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?