Wrexham vs West Brom Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Racecourse Ground
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.29
Draw
3.49
Away Win
3.17
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Wrexham
West Brom
39'
🟨 Rabby Nzingoula
Kieffer Moore (Oliver Rathbone) ⚽
64'
79'
⚽ Isaac Price
Zak Vyner 🟨
83'
84'
⚽ Aune Heggebo (Isaac Price)
Match Statistics ?
42%
Ball Possession
58%
8
Total Shots
9
4
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
7
13
Fouls
11
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
2
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Wrexham (5-3-2)
A. Patterson
I. Kaboré
Z. Vyner
D. Hyam
C. Doyle
J. Ekomié
G. Dobson
B. Whiteman
O. Rathbone
K. Moore
C. O'Hare
West Brom (4-4-2)
M. O’Leary
B. Pereira
C. Mepham
G. Campbell
C. Styles
Harry Whitwell
Tobias Christopher Collyer
J. Molumby
I. Price
B. Stewart
R. Nzingoula
Player Ratings ?
Wrexham
K. MooreF8.0
O. RathboneM7.3
B. WhitemanM7.2
West Brom
I. PriceM9.0
A. HeggebøF7.7
G. CampbellD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wrexham edge attack, West Brom edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Brom slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wrexham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Brom slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Brom have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Wrexham have managed just one victory in five home fixtures. Wrexham have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same span. The Dragons face significant selection headaches with four players unavailable and one doubtful, whereas West Brom have only two absentees and no doubts to manage. West Brom rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while Wrexham rate stronger on attack. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 2 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 4.5 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wrexham win
Latest market chance 41.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
41.2% → 41.4%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 28.0%
−0.2 pts
West Brom win
Latest market chance 30.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
30.6% → 30.6%
±0.0 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Wrexham
West Brom
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
10th
9
Games Played
9
1.22
Points/Game
1.56
1.11
Goals/Game
1.11
1.44
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.0
Shots/Game
12.9
3.4
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
Wrexham at home (8 matches) vs West Brom away (7 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.86
1.62
Goals/Game
1.43
1.12
Conceded/Game
1.14
38%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wrexham
Home form
D
D
L
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
West Brom
Away form
L
W
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wrexham Wins
0
Draws
1
West Brom Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.5
2026-04-032025-2026
West Brom2 – 2Wrexham
2025-08-162025-2026
Wrexham2 – 3West Brom
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wrexham
vs
West Brom
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.10
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
71.1%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.3%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
27.6%
BTTSBoth teams score
52.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.5%→Latest 47.4%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 52.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
7 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Wrexham's 10 matches and 1 of West Brom's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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