Wrexham vs Preston Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Racecourse Ground
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
3.86
Away Win
5.17
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 1
Match Events ?
Wrexham
Preston
9'
🟨 Andrija Vukčević
Benjamin Whiteman 🟨
21'
Joe Worrall (Danny Imray) ⚽
31'
36'
⚽ Alfie Devine
Benjamin Whiteman ⚽
42'
Sam Smith (Benjamin Whiteman) ⚽
59'
62'
🟨 Andrew Hughes
Kieffer Moore (Joe Worrall) ⚽
63'
66'
🟨 Jordan Thompson
Callum Doyle 🟨
80'
80'
🟨 Leo Leroy
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
18
Total Shots
11
6
Shots on Goal
1
8
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Wrexham (3-4-1-2)
A. Patterson
D. Hyam
J. Worrall
C. Doyle
Daniel Edward Peter Imray
B. Whiteman
M. James
J. Ekomié
C. O'Hare
K. Moore
S. Smith
Preston (3-4-2-1)
D. Iversen
J. Storey
L. Lindsay
A. Hughes
O. Offiah
L. Leroy
J. Thompson
A. Vukčević
C. Lang
A. Devine
J. Kenny
Player Ratings ?
Wrexham
B. WhitemanM9.0
K. MooreF8.2
J. WorrallD8.2
Preston
A. DevineM7.8
J. KennyF6.4
J. ErabiF6.3
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Wrexham
Wrexham rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Wrexham a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wrexham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wrexham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wrexham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wrexham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Preston have drawn just once and lost four of their last five away matches, whereas Wrexham have secured a single victory from two draws and two defeats in their last five home outings. Wrexham have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. There are availability concerns for both sides, with Wrexham having five players out and two doubtful, while Preston have two confirmed absences alongside four players listed as doubtful. Wrexham rate stronger on form, attack and defence, with a slight advantage in head-to-head. Wrexham won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 29 December 2025, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Preston's 2, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison gives Wrexham a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Preston losing run
1
Preston points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wrexham win
Latest market chance 55.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
55.8% → 55.7%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.8% → 24.6%
−0.2 pts
Preston win
Latest market chance 19.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.4% → 19.6%
+0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wrexham
Draw
Preston
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WrexhamPreston
Season Profile
This season
17th
League Position
24th
10
Games Played
10
1.10
Points/Game
0.40
1.10
Goals/Game
0.80
1.50
Conceded/Game
2.00
12.0
Shots/Game
11.7
3.4
Shots on Target
2.4
Home vs Away Context
Wrexham at home (8 matches) vs Preston away (7 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
0.14
1.62
Goals/Game
0.71
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.43
38%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wrexham
Home form
D
L
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Preston
Away form
L
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wrexham Wins
1
Draws
2
Preston Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.2
Wrexham2 – 1Preston
Preston1 – 1Wrexham
Preston1 – 0Wrexham
Wrexham0 – 0Preston
Wrexham0 – 5Preston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wrexhamvs
Preston
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.1%→Latest 51.5%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.6%−0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?