Wolves vs Portsmouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Molineux Stadium
Tue 20 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.61
Draw
4.22
Away Win
5.37
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
Wolves
Portsmouth
Sean Neave 🟨
22'
55'
🟨 Iyad Mohamed
Paulo César da Silva Peixoto 🟨
56'
Jordan James (Fer López) ⚽
62'
80'
🟨 Marko Milovanović
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 🟨
83'
Thomas Doyle 🟨
84'
86'
⚽ Terry Devlin
90+5'
🟨 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
15
Total Shots
8
2
Shots on Goal
1
6
Corner Kicks
2
11
Fouls
6
3
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
José Sá
J. Tchatchoua
N. Djiga
L. Krejčí
Hugo Bueno
André
M. Munetsi
M. Mane
Fer López
R. Saïd
S. Neave
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
N. Schmid
T. Devlin
R. Poole
M. Dia
J. Meghoma
E. Adams
I. Mohamed
A. Kamara
R. Shein
A. Segecic
T. Shade
Player Ratings ?
Wolves
J. JamesM7.7
Fer LópezM7.6
AndréM7.2
Portsmouth
M. DiaD7.3
T. DevlinD7.3
R. PooleD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wolves edge recent form and attack, Portsmouth edge defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Portsmouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wolves have secured two wins and two draws from their last five home outings, while Portsmouth managed just two victories in that same span away from home. At Molineux, the hosts have scored in four of their last five matches but have also kept two clean sheets in that identical run. Portsmouth face a significant selection headache with seven players unavailable and two others doubtful, whereas Wolves have only four confirmed out. Wolves rate stronger on form and attack, while Portsmouth rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2010. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolves win
Latest market chance 59.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
59.0% → 59.1%
+0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.0% → 22.9%
−0.1 pts
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 18.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
18.0% → 18.0%
±0.0 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Wolves
Portsmouth
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
13th
10
Games Played
10
1.70
Points/Game
1.40
1.80
Goals/Game
1.30
1.50
Conceded/Game
1.30
16.9
Shots/Game
13.4
4.5
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Wolves at home (8 matches) vs Portsmouth away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.25
1.75
Goals/Game
0.88
1.00
Conceded/Game
0.75
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolves
Home form
D
W
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Portsmouth
Away form
L
D
D
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolves Wins
0
Draws
3
Portsmouth Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.4
2026-09-162026-2027
Wolves1 – 1Portsmouth
2010-05-012009-2010
Portsmouth3 – 1Wolves
2009-10-032009-2010
Wolves0 – 1Portsmouth
2004-01-312003-2004
Portsmouth0 – 0Wolves
2003-08-302003-2004
Wolves0 – 0Portsmouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolves
vs
Portsmouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.10
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
1/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
76.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
54.0%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
33.0%
BTTSBoth teams score
52.6%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.7%→Latest 52.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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