Wolves vs Cardiff Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Molineux Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.70
Draw
4.28
Away Win
4.61
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Wolves
Cardiff
Fer López (Hugo Bueno) ⚽
10'
Adam Armstrong (Rafiki Said Ahamada) ⚽
15'
Adam Armstrong 🟨
26'
André 🟨
42'
Fer López 🟨
50'
56'
🟨 Joel Bagan
Ladislav Krejčí (Kieran Trippier) ⚽
58'
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 🟨
62'
90+2'
🟨 Rubin Colwill
Match Statistics ?
39%
Ball Possession
61%
13
Total Shots
13
4
Shots on Goal
9
3
Corner Kicks
5
20
Fouls
8
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
9
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
José Sá
K. Trippier
Y. Mosquera
L. Krejčí
Hugo Bueno
André
M. Munetsi
Fer López
J. James
R. Saïd
A. Armstrong
Cardiff (4-2-3-1)
N. Trott
P. Ng
W. Fish
J. Bagan
C. Scanlon
J. Colwill
A. Robertson
O. Tanner
J. Moylan
C. Willock
Y. Salech
Player Ratings ?
Wolves
José SáG8.9
Fer LópezM8.2
A. ArmstrongF7.9
Cardiff
P. NgD7.0
Cian AshfordF6.5
W. FishD6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Wolves edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, Cardiff edge attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Cardiff slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Cardiff arrive at Molineux having recorded just a solitary draw in their last five away matches, while Wolves have secured two victories from their last five home outings. The home side have found the net in all five of their recent fixtures at Molineux, though they have also kept two clean sheets during that same span. Wolves face three confirmed absences ahead of the clash, whereas Cardiff must manage without two players and with one remaining a doubt. Wolves rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while Cardiff hold a slight advantage in attack. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 5-day comparison window, Wolves's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while Cardiff's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
3/5
One-goal H2H results
1
Cardiff points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Wolves
Wolves's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Wolves win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolves win
Latest market chance 55.9%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
58.2% → 55.9%
−2.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.9% → 22.8%
+0.9 pts
Cardiff win
Latest market chance 21.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
19.9% → 21.3%
+1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Wolves
Draw
Cardiff
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolvesCardiff
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
16th
12
Games Played
12
1.75
Points/Game
1.17
1.67
Goals/Game
1.58
1.33
Conceded/Game
1.42
16.9
Shots/Game
16.7
4.5
Shots on Target
6.3
Home vs Away Context
Wolves at home (8 matches) vs Cardiff away (7 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
0.29
1.75
Goals/Game
0.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
50%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolves
Home form
D
W
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Cardiff
Away form
L
L
L
L
D
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolves Wins
3
Draws
0
Cardiff Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.6
Wolves2 – 0Cardiff
Cardiff2 – 1Wolves
Cardiff0 – 1Wolves
Wolves1 – 2Cardiff
Wolves3 – 1Cardiff
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolvesvs
Cardiff
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 63.7%→Latest 63.7%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.0%→Latest 62.5%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?