Wolves vs Bolton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Molineux Stadium
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.42
Draw
4.93
Away Win
7.17
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Wolves
Bolton
Mateus Mane 🟨
26'
28'
⚽ Atsuki Ito
45+1'
🟨 Gaizka Larrazabal
Jean-Ricner Bellegarde (Ladislav Krejčí) ⚽
50'
72'
⚽ Sam Dalby (Gaizka Larrazabal)
76'
🟨 Ethan Erhahon
82'
⚽ Josh Sheehan
Kieran Trippier 🟨
89'
Sean Neave 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
62%
Ball Possession
38%
19
Total Shots
10
3
Shots on Goal
6
9
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
14
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
6
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
José Sá
K. Trippier
N. Djiga
L. Krejčí
Hugo Bueno
André
J. James
J. Bellegarde
Fer López
M. Mane
A. Armstrong
Bolton (4-4-2)
G. Bazunu
Gaizka Larrazabal
E. Toal
L. Brunt
A. Famewo
S. Iling-Junior
J. Sheehan
E. Erhahon
T. Gale
T. Bair
A. Ito
Player Ratings ?
Wolves
J. BellegardeM7.3
L. KrejčíD7.2
K. TrippierD7.1
Bolton
J. SheehanM8.0
S. DalbyF7.9
A. ItoF7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Wolves
Wolves rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Wolves a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolves slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wolves have enjoyed an unbeaten run at home over their last five outings, while Bolton have recorded just a solitary victory and a draw in their away matches during the same span. The hosts have scored in four of their last five home games but have also kept three clean sheets in that identical period. Both sides carry minor injury concerns, with Wolves having two players unavailable and Bolton one player out ahead of the contest. Wolves rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Wolves a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Wolves win
Latest market chance 67.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
67.3% → 67.5%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.7% → 19.5%
−0.2 pts
Bolton win
Latest market chance 12.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
13.1% → 12.9%
−0.2 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WolvesBolton
Season Profile
This season
6th
League Position
17th
8
Games Played
9
1.75
Points/Game
1.11
1.88
Goals/Game
1.33
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.89
16.9
Shots/Game
14.1
4.5
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Wolves at home (8 matches) vs Bolton away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.38
1.75
Goals/Game
1.38
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.75
50%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Wolves
Home form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Bolton
Away form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Wolves Wins
2
Draws
2
Bolton Wins
1
Avg Goals
4.2
Bolton0 – 4Wolves
Wolves5 – 1Bolton
Wolves2 – 2Bolton
Bolton2 – 1Wolves
Bolton2 – 2Wolves
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Wolvesvs
Bolton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.80
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
2/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.6%→Latest 59.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.6%→Latest 52.3%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
1 of Wolves's 10 matches and 1 of Bolton's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?