West Ham vs West Brom Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
London Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.63
Draw
4.26
Away Win
5.18
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
West Ham
West Brom
Maximilian Kilman 🟨
17'
20'
⚽ Felix Horn Myhre (J. Morgan)
Jarrod Bowen (Mohamadou Kante) ⚽
29'
48'
⚽ J. Morgan (Felix Horn Myhre)
Kyle Walker-Peters 🟨
66'
72'
⚽ Callum Styles
Arne Engels 🟨
85'
89'
🟨 Jayson Molumby
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
14
Total Shots
12
5
Shots on Goal
3
8
Corner Kicks
6
13
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
2
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
West Ham (4-4-2)
M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters
A. Golambeckis
M. Kilman
Morato
J. Bowen
D. Mukasa
A. Engels
E. Austbö
Pablo
M. Kanté
West Brom (4-4-2)
M. O’Leary
B. Pereira
C. Mepham
G. Campbell
C. Styles
R. Nzingoula
J. Molumby
O. Diakité
I. Price
J. Morgan
F. Myhre
Player Ratings ?
West Ham
J. BowenM6.8
V. CastellanosF6.7
M. KantéF6.7
West Brom
J. MorganF8.9
F. MyhreF8.4
C. StylesD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
West Ham
West Ham rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving West Ham a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Ham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Brom have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while West Ham enjoy three victories and a single draw in their corresponding home sample. The Hammers have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have kept just two clean sheets during that same period. West Ham face one confirmed absence and two players listed as doubtful, whereas West Brom carry three definite absences without any doubts attached to their squad. West Ham rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2021. Over the 5-day comparison window, West Ham's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points, while West Brom's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives West Ham a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
West Ham unbeaten run
46%
West Ham yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from West Ham
West Ham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a West Ham win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Ham win
Latest market chance 58.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
60.9% → 58.1%
−2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.7% → 22.7%
+1.0 pts
West Brom win
Latest market chance 19.2%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
17.4% → 19.2%
+1.8 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Ham
Draw
West Brom
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West HamWest Brom
Season Profile
This season
4th
League Position
6th
12
Games Played
12
1.83
Points/Game
1.75
2.67
Goals/Game
1.33
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.08
17.3
Shots/Game
12.9
6.6
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
West Ham at home (7 matches) vs West Brom away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.86
2.57
Goals/Game
1.43
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.14
43%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Ham
Home form
W
W
W
D
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
West Brom
Away form
L
W
L
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Ham Wins
3
Draws
2
West Brom Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.8
West Brom1 – 3West Ham
West Ham2 – 1West Brom
West Ham2 – 1West Brom
West Brom0 – 0West Ham
West Ham2 – 2West Brom
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Hamvs
West Brom
Recent Scoring Profile
2.90
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.10
Goals conceded / game
1.10
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 59.1%→Latest 58.1%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.8%→Latest 56.3%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?