West Ham vs QPR Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
London Stadium
Fri 09 Oct 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.48
Draw
4.90
Away Win
6.26
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
West Ham
QPR
Arne Engels 🟨
17'
18'
⚽ (P) Nicolas Madsen
24'
🟨 Boy Kemper
62'
🟨 Glen Kamara
Maximilian Kilman 🟨
62'
Felipe Morato 🟨
65'
Jarrod Bowen ⚽
70'
90'
🟨 Amadou Salif Mbengue
90+1'
🟨 Richard Kone
Jarrod Bowen •
90+1'
Match Statistics ?
65%
Ball Possession
35%
12
Total Shots
7
5
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
West Ham (4-2-3-1)
M. Hermansen
K. Walker-Peters
K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman
Morato
T. Souček
A. Engels
J. Bowen
D. Mukasa
M. Solomon
V. Castellanos
QPR (4-3-3)
P. Charles
K. Adamson
J. Dunne
J. Clarke-Salter
B. Kemper
N. Madsen
R. Edwards
G. Kamara
K. Poku
Rayan Jawad Kolli
P. Smyth
Player Ratings ?
West Ham
J. BowenM7.6
K. MavropanosD6.9
L. OrfordM6.8
QPR
P. CharlesG7.2
N. MadsenM6.9
P. SmythF6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
West Ham
West Ham rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; defence is closely matched, giving West Ham a slight edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Ham have secured four victories from their last five home outings, while QPR have recorded two wins and two draws in their corresponding away sample. The Hammers have found the net in all five of their recent home fixtures, yet they have kept a clean sheet in only two of those same matches. West Ham face just one absence among their squad, whereas QPR carry four confirmed absences alongside four players listed as doubtful. West Ham rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2015. Over the 19-day comparison window, West Ham's implied win probability has fallen by 0.3 percentage points, while QPR's implied win probability has risen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives West Ham a slight edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
West Ham unbeaten run
53%
West Ham yellow cards after 75'
12
West Ham points from last 5 matches
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards West Ham
West Ham's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a West Ham win as more likely than it did 14 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Ham win
Latest market chance 65.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
63.3% → 65.0%
+1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 19.6%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
20.9% → 19.6%
−1.3 pts
QPR win
Latest market chance 15.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
15.8% → 15.4%
−0.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Ham
Draw
QPR
7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West HamQPR
Season Profile
This season
2nd
League Position
7th
8
Games Played
8
1.88
Points/Game
1.63
2.75
Goals/Game
1.25
1.38
Conceded/Game
0.88
17.3
Shots/Game
15.1
6.6
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
West Ham at home (7 matches) vs QPR away (7 matches)
1.43
Points/Game
1.29
2.57
Goals/Game
1.14
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.57
43%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Ham
Home form
W
L
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
3.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
QPR
Away form
L
W
W
D
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Ham Wins
3
Draws
2
QPR Wins
0
Avg Goals
2.0
QPR0 – 0West Ham
West Ham2 – 0QPR
West Ham1 – 1QPR
QPR1 – 2West Ham
West Ham2 – 1QPR
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Hamvs
QPR
Recent Scoring Profile
2.60
Goals scored / game
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.30
9/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.3%→Latest 61.2%−4.1 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
An earlier move in the opposite direction has partly reversed.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.4%→Latest 55.8%−2.6 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of West Ham's 10 matches and 2 of QPR's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?