West Brom vs Southampton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Hawthorns
Tue 03 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.51
Draw
3.64
Away Win
2.75
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
West Brom
Southampton
Isaac Price ⚽ (P)
22'
53'
⚽ Samuel Edozie
Callum Styles 🟨
61'
62'
🟨 Tonda Eckert
Rabby Nzingoula 🟨
66'
77'
🟨 Flynn Downes
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
17
Total Shots
10
5
Shots on Goal
3
3
Corner Kicks
5
13
Fouls
10
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
West Brom (4-4-2)
M. O’Leary
B. Pereira
C. Mepham
G. Campbell
C. Styles
R. Nzingoula
J. Molumby
O. Diakité
I. Price
J. Morgan
F. Myhre
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Daniel Peretz
J. Bree
J. Stephens
K. Schlotterbeck
R. Manning
J. Ward-Prowse
F. Downes
K. Matsuki
F. Azaz
S. Edozie
D. Mubama
Player Ratings ?
West Brom
I. PriceM7.8
J. MolumbyM7.2
O. DiakitéM7.0
Southampton
S. EdozieM7.5
Daniel PeretzG7.3
J. Ward-ProwseM6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. West Brom edge defence, Southampton edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Brom slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Southampton have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away outings, while West Brom sit on an identical tally of two victories and two draws from their home matches over the same span. West Brom have found the net in four of their last five home games but have only managed a single clean sheet during that period. The Baggies face three confirmed absences ahead of this fixture, whereas Southampton carry one player under doubt for selection. Southampton rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while West Brom hold a slight advantage in defence. The most recent meeting, on 11 March 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Brom win
Latest market chance 38.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
38.1% → 38.1%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.3% → 26.6%
+0.3 pts
Southampton win
Latest market chance 35.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.5% → 35.2%
−0.3 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Brom
Draw
Southampton
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West BromSouthampton
Season Profile
This season
5th
League Position
2nd
13
Games Played
13
1.85
Points/Game
2.08
1.46
Goals/Game
2.15
1.08
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.9
Shots/Game
15.6
3.9
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
West Brom at home (8 matches) vs Southampton away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.12
1.62
Goals/Game
1.12
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Brom
Home form
D
W
D
L
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Southampton
Away form
D
D
L
W
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Brom Wins
1
Draws
1
Southampton Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.0
West Brom1 – 1Southampton
Southampton3 – 2West Brom
West Brom0 – 2Southampton
Southampton2 – 1West Brom
West Brom3 – 0Southampton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Bromvs
Southampton
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.90
0.90
Goals conceded / game
0.90
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 56.6%→Latest 56.1%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.5%→Latest 60.1%−0.4 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?