West Brom vs Millwall Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Hawthorns
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.08
Draw
3.66
Away Win
3.53
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
West Brom
Millwall
43'
🟨 Derek Mazou Sacko
Isaac Price (Jayson Molumby) ⚽
50'
Brayann Pereira 🟨
52'
64'
🟨 Zak Sturge
Jayson Molumby ⚽
78'
Felix Horn Myhre (Isaac Price) ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
63%
Ball Possession
37%
18
Total Shots
6
6
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
4
12
Fouls
14
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
8
1
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
West Brom (4-4-2)
M. O’Leary
B. Pereira
C. Mepham
N. Phillips
C. Styles
R. Nzingoula
J. Molumby
O. Diakité
I. Price
A. Heggebø
J. Morgan
Millwall (4-2-3-1)
M. Crocombe
J. Osei-Tutu
C. Taylor
J. Cooper
Zak Norton Sturge
Jenson Metcalfe
D. Mazou-Sacko
C. Neghli
L. Cundle
K. Lisbie
J. Coburn
Player Ratings ?
West Brom
I. PriceM9.0
J. MolumbyM9.0
F. MyhreM7.5
Millwall
J. CoburnF6.7
T. ArconteF6.6
C. NeghliM6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. West Brom edge recent form and defence, Millwall edge head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Millwall stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Brom have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Millwall have managed just a single win across their last five away fixtures. The Baggies have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have kept only a solitary clean sheet during that same period. West Brom rate stronger on form and defence, while Millwall rate stronger on head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 10 April 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Brom win
Latest market chance 46.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
46.5% → 46.4%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.2% → 26.7%
+0.5 pts
Millwall win
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.4% → 26.9%
−0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Brom
Draw
Millwall
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West BromMillwall
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
13th
14
Games Played
14
1.79
Points/Game
1.29
1.43
Goals/Game
1.64
1.07
Conceded/Game
1.71
12.9
Shots/Game
14.0
3.9
Shots on Target
3.9
Home vs Away Context
West Brom at home (8 matches) vs Millwall away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
0.88
1.62
Goals/Game
1.00
0.88
Conceded/Game
2.25
50%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Brom
Home form
W
D
L
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Millwall
Away form
L
D
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Brom Wins
0
Draws
4
Millwall Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.4
West Brom0 – 0Millwall
Millwall3 – 0West Brom
Millwall1 – 1West Brom
West Brom0 – 0Millwall
Millwall1 – 1West Brom
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Bromvs
Millwall
Recent Scoring Profile
1.30
Goals scored / game
1.70
0.90
Goals conceded / game
1.60
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 53.5%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.9%→Latest 56.0%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?