West Brom vs Blackburn Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
The Hawthorns
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.93
Draw
3.67
Away Win
4.00
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
West Brom
Blackburn
6'
⚽ Andri Guðjohnsen (Kristi Montgomery)
12'
⚽ Andri Guðjohnsen
Barney Stewart ⚽
19'
21'
🟨 Kristi Montgomery
George Campbell 🟨
23'
32'
🟨 Oladapo Afolayan
Chris Mepham 🟨
41'
71'
🟨 Sean McLoughlin
Isaac Price ⚽ (P)
72'
Felix Horn Myhre (Aune Heggebo) ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
64%
Ball Possession
36%
25
Total Shots
10
4
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
4
9
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
West Brom (4-1-4-1)
M. O’Leary
B. Pereira
C. Mepham
G. Campbell
C. Styles
Tobias Christopher Collyer
I. Price
J. Molumby
R. Nzingoula
J. Morgan
B. Stewart
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu
Tom Atcheson
S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering
Sam Morsy
Kristi Montgomery
R. Morishita
T. Cantwell
O. Afolayan
A. Guðjohnsen
Player Ratings ?
West Brom
B. StewartF7.9
I. PriceM7.8
F. MyhreM7.1
Blackburn
A. GuðjohnsenF8.3
Kristi MontgomeryM6.4
J. FevrierF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. West Brom edge defence and head-to-head, Blackburn edge attack, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Blackburn slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Brom stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Brom have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Blackburn have managed just a single win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. West Brom face two confirmed absences ahead of this fixture, whereas Blackburn carry a heavier load with five out and one doubtful for their side. Blackburn hold a slight advantage in attack, while West Brom rate stronger on defence and head-to-head, while form is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 2-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 2 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
West Brom win
Latest market chance 49.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
49.8% → 49.7%
−0.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 26.7%
±0.0 pts
Blackburn win
Latest market chance 23.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.6% → 23.5%
−0.1 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
3 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Oct 15Oct 16Oct 17
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
West Brom
Draw
Blackburn
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
West Brom
Blackburn
Season Profile
This season
8th
League Position
10th
10
Games Played
10
1.70
Points/Game
1.50
1.20
Goals/Game
1.50
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.30
12.9
Shots/Game
10.9
3.9
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
West Brom at home (8 matches) vs Blackburn away (7 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
0.86
1.62
Goals/Game
1.14
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.86
50%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
West Brom
Home form
W
D
W
D
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Blackburn
Away form
D
D
L
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
West Brom Wins
2
Draws
2
Blackburn Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.6
2026-04-062025-2026
Blackburn0 – 0West Brom
2025-08-092025-2026
West Brom1 – 0Blackburn
2025-02-122024-2025
West Brom0 – 2Blackburn
2024-10-232024-2025
Blackburn0 – 0West Brom
2024-01-132023-2024
West Brom4 – 1Blackburn
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
West Brom
vs
Blackburn
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded / game
1.30
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
71.2%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
47.2%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
26.5%
BTTSBoth teams score
50.5%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 47.2%→Latest 47.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 50.8%→Latest 50.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
5 common bookmakers · first comparable 2 days before kickoff
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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