Watford vs Charlton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Vicarage Road
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.63
Draw
3.41
Away Win
2.78
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Watford
Charlton
10'
🟨 Dan McNamara
Myron Boadu 🟨
17'
Iker Bravo 🟨
31'
32'
🟨 Oliver Skipp
44'
🟨 Tyreece Campbell
47'
🟨 Conor Coventry
Luca Kjerrumgaard ⚽
58'
Jordan Zemura 🟨
79'
90+2'
🟨 Alan Mwamba
Jordan Zemura (Rocco Vata) ⚽
90+4'
Match Statistics ?
51%
Ball Possession
49%
22
Total Shots
14
10
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
10
Fouls
21
3
Yellow Cards
5
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
3
Goalkeeper Saves
8
Starting Lineups
Watford (5-3-2)
F. Ravaglia
K. Diatta
K. Keben
M. Pollock
S. Coulibaly
M. Bola
E. Kayembe
H. Kyprianou
Iker Bravo
L. Kjerrumgaard
M. Boadu
Charlton (3-4-2-1)
A. Okonkwo
K. Ramsay
L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio
D. McNamara
O. Skipp
C. Coventry
I. Mesík
K. Ahearne-Grant
T. Campbell
M. Leaburn
Player Ratings ?
Watford
L. KjerrumgaardF8.2
K. DiattaD7.7
S. CoulibalyD7.7
Charlton
A. OkonkwoG7.2
L. JonesD7.0
C. KelmanF6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Watford edge attack, Charlton edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Watford slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charlton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Watford have secured two victories from their last five home outings, while Charlton have managed just one win across their last five away fixtures. The Hornets have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that same period. Watford face potential disruptions with two confirmed absences and three players listed as doubtful, whereas Charlton have three definite unavailability concerns but no doubts remaining. Charlton rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while Watford hold a slight advantage in attack. The most recent meeting, on 6 April 2026, ended level, with 1 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Watford's implied win probability has fallen by 3.9 percentage points, while Charlton's implied win probability has risen by 3.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Watford
Watford's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Watford win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Watford win
Latest market chance 37.5%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
41.4% → 37.5%
−3.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.2%
+0.3 pts
Charlton win
Latest market chance 34.3%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 34.3%
+3.6 pts
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
WatfordCharlton

Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
13th
10
Games Played
10
0.80
Points/Game
1.40
0.80
Goals/Game
1.00
1.90
Conceded/Game
1.30
12.1
Shots/Game
10.0
3.7
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Watford at home (8 matches) vs Charlton away (7 matches)
1.75
Points/Game
0.71
1.12
Goals/Game
0.86
1.12
Conceded/Game
2.29
50%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Watford
Home form
W
D
W
L
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Charlton
Away form
W
D
L
L
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Watford Wins
1
Draws
1
Charlton Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.6
Watford1 – 1Charlton
Charlton1 – 0Watford
Watford5 – 0Charlton
Charlton1 – 0Watford
Charlton3 – 1Watford
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Watfordvs
Charlton

Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.00
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.30
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.2%→Latest 49.5%+0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.1%→Latest 54.7%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?