Swansea vs West Ham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Swansea.com Stadium
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.96
Draw
3.65
Away Win
2.34
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Swansea
West Ham
34'
⚽ Divine Mukasa (Mohamadou Kante)
41'
🟨 Divine Mukasa
81'
🟨 Taty Castellanos
Match Statistics ?
69%
Ball Possession
31%
11
Total Shots
9
0
Shots on Goal
4
6
Corner Kicks
1
9
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
4
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
Swansea (4-3-3)
L. Vigouroux
Ronald
B. Cabango
S. Welsh
J. Tymon
Gonçalo Franco
J. Fulton
M. Stamenić
M. Yeo
A. Idah
Joseph Okopu
West Ham (4-2-3-1)
M. Hermansen
J. Veltman
K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman
Morato
M. Kanté
A. Engels
J. Bowen
D. Mukasa
M. Solomon
Pablo
Player Ratings ?
Swansea
RonaldD6.9
S. WelshD6.8
J. FultonM6.7
West Ham
D. MukasaM7.6
K. MavropanosD6.8
M. KantéM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Swansea edge recent form and defence, West Ham edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Ham have shown resilience away from home with two wins and three draws in their last five outings, while Swansea remain unbeaten at home with three victories and two draws over the same span. At the club's ground, Swansea have scored in three of their last five matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that identical recent period. Swansea face three confirmed absences ahead of the fixture, whereas West Ham will be without just one player for this Championship clash. Swansea rate stronger on form and defence, while West Ham rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2018. Over the 2-day comparison window, Swansea's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while West Ham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
West Ham unbeaten run
48%
West Ham yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from West Ham
West Ham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a West Ham win as less likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Swansea win
Latest market chance 32.1%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.9% → 32.1%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.0% → 26.4%
+0.4 pts
West Ham win
Latest market chance 41.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.1% → 41.5%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Swansea
Draw
West Ham
6 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SwanseaWest Ham
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
4th
10
Games Played
10
2.30
Points/Game
1.90
1.60
Goals/Game
2.90
0.70
Conceded/Game
1.20
11.9
Shots/Game
17.3
4.5
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Swansea at home (7 matches) vs West Ham away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.62
1.57
Goals/Game
2.38
0.43
Conceded/Game
1.50
57%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Swansea
Home form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
West Ham
Away form
D
D
W
D
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Swansea Wins
2
Draws
0
West Ham Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Swansea4 – 1West Ham
West Ham1 – 0Swansea
West Ham1 – 0Swansea
Swansea1 – 4West Ham
West Ham1 – 4Swansea
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Swanseavs
West Ham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
2.90
0.70
Goals conceded / game
1.20
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 54.4%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 58.5%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?