Swansea vs Blackburn Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Swansea.com Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.75
Draw
3.92
Away Win
4.68
Match Report
Full Time
4 – 0
Match Events ?
Swansea
Blackburn
Stephen Eustáquio (Joseph Amankwaah Opoku) ⚽
11'
22'
🟨 Moussa·Baradji
Joseph Amankwaah Opoku ⚽
32'
Filip Lissah (Stephen Welsh) ⚽
36'
Ross Stewart (Eom Ji-Sung) ⚽
59'
Match Statistics ?
68%
Ball Possession
32%
19
Total Shots
6
9
Shots on Goal
1
1
Corner Kicks
2
9
Fouls
16
0
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Swansea (4-2-3-1)
L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah
B. Cabango
S. Welsh
J. Tymon
J. Fulton
S. Eustáquio
Joseph Okopu
M. Widell
Eom Ji-Sung
R. Stewart
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu
Tom Atcheson
S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering
M. Baradji
Kristi Montgomery
J. Fevrier
T. Cantwell
O. Afolayan
A. Guðjohnsen
Player Ratings ?
Swansea
Joseph OkopuM9.0
S. EustáquioM8.0
R. StewartF7.9
Blackburn
A. KargboF7.1
B. TóthG6.7
Gady BeyukuD6.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Swansea edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Swansea have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Blackburn manage just a solitary win in their corresponding away sample. The hosts have found the net in three of their last five matches at home and kept two clean sheets during that same period. Swansea face three unavailable players, whereas Blackburn are without five men and have one additional player marked as doubtful. Swansea rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Swansea won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 20 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Blackburn's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Swansea's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Blackburn's implied win probability has fallen by 0.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Swansea unbeaten run
3/5
One-goal H2H results
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift towards Swansea
Swansea's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Swansea win as more likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Swansea win
Latest market chance 54.0%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
53.1% → 54.0%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.1% → 25.4%
−0.7 pts
Blackburn win
Latest market chance 20.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
20.8% → 20.6%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Swansea
Draw
Blackburn
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
SwanseaBlackburn
Season Profile
This season
3rd
League Position
11th
12
Games Played
12
1.92
Points/Game
1.50
1.33
Goals/Game
1.58
1.08
Conceded/Game
1.33
11.9
Shots/Game
10.9
4.5
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Swansea at home (7 matches) vs Blackburn away (7 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
0.86
1.57
Goals/Game
1.14
0.43
Conceded/Game
1.86
57%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Swansea
Home form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Blackburn
Away form
D
L
D
W
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Swansea Wins
4
Draws
0
Blackburn Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Swansea3 – 1Blackburn
Blackburn1 – 2Swansea
Swansea3 – 0Blackburn
Blackburn1 – 0Swansea
Swansea2 – 1Blackburn
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Swanseavs
Blackburn
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.20
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.6%→Latest 51.2%+1.6 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.5%→Latest 52.7%+1.2 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?