Stoke vs Preston Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
bet365 Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.74
Draw
4.02
Away Win
4.75
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Stoke
Preston
2'
🟨 Brad Potts
Ben Wilmot (Jack Mcglynn) ⚽
29'
Luca Bombino 🟨
43'
Jack Mcglynn (Ethan Galbraith) ⚽
53'
Ethan Galbraith 🟨
76'
90'
🟨 Jusef Erabi
Match Statistics ?
60%
Ball Possession
40%
18
Total Shots
3
6
Shots on Goal
0
9
Corner Kicks
7
11
Fouls
15
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Stoke (3-4-3)
V. Johansson
B. Wilmot
B. Lawal
L. Graham
B. Johnson
El Hadji Djibril Soumaré
E. Galbraith
L. Bombino
J. McGlynn
R. Boženík
J. Devenny
Preston (3-4-3)
D. Iversen
O. Offiah
J. Storey
A. Hughes
B. Potts
L. Leroy
J. Thompson
A. Vukčević
C. Lang
J. Kenny
D. Burgzorg
Player Ratings ?
Stoke
J. McGlynnF8.4
B. WilmotD7.8
E. GalbraithM7.7
Preston
L. LeroyM6.7
D. IversenG6.4
J. KennyF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stoke
Stoke rate stronger in recent form, attack and defence; Preston edge head-to-head, giving Stoke an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stoke stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stoke stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stoke stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Preston stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Stoke have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Preston remain winless in their previous five away fixtures with just a solitary draw to show for it. The Potters have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have also kept three clean sheets during that same period. Five Stoke players are unavailable for selection, whereas Preston face similar concerns with four out plus two doubtful figures ahead of the fixture. Stoke rate stronger on form, attack and defence, while Preston rate stronger on head-to-head. Preston won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 20 March 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Stoke's 1, with 3 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Stoke's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Preston's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Stoke.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Preston losing run
1
Preston points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Stoke
Stoke's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Stoke win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stoke win
Latest market chance 54.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
55.4% → 54.4%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.7% → 25.0%
+0.3 pts
Preston win
Latest market chance 20.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.9% → 20.6%
+0.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stoke
Draw
Preston
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StokePreston
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
24th
12
Games Played
12
1.67
Points/Game
0.42
1.50
Goals/Game
0.83
1.33
Conceded/Game
2.08
11.3
Shots/Game
11.7
3.6
Shots on Target
2.4
Home vs Away Context
Stoke at home (7 matches) vs Preston away (7 matches)
1.86
Points/Game
0.14
1.71
Goals/Game
0.71
0.86
Conceded/Game
2.43
57%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stoke
Home form
W
W
W
L
D
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Preston
Away form
L
L
D
L
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stoke Wins
1
Draws
3
Preston Wins
1
Avg Goals
1.8
Preston3 – 1Stoke
Stoke0 – 0Preston
Preston1 – 1Stoke
Stoke0 – 0Preston
Preston1 – 2Stoke
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stokevs
Preston
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
0.80
1.10
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.2%→Latest 50.6%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 52.3%→Latest 51.7%−0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?