Southampton vs Portsmouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Southampton have secured five wins from their last five home outings, while Portsmouth have recorded two victories and a single draw in their away fixtures over the same span. The Saints have found the net in each of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that identical run. Southampton face just one absence among their ranks, whereas Portsmouth must manage seven confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful. Southampton rate stronger on form and attack, while Portsmouth hold a slight advantage in head-to-head, while defence is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 25 January 2026, ended level, with 4 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.6 goals per meeting. Over the 21-day comparison window, Southampton's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points, while Portsmouth's implied win probability has risen by 3.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.