QPR vs Swansea Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Loftus Road
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.57
Draw
3.43
Away Win
2.79
Match Report
Full Time
5 – 0
Match Events ?
QPR
Swansea
Richard Kone (Paul Smyth) ⚽
2'
Richard Kone (Kwame Poku) ⚽
9'
14'
🟨 Lawrence Vigouroux
Richard Kone ⚽ (P)
15'
Richard Kone 🟨
16'
34'
🟨 Elijah Just
Jimmy Dunne (Harvey Vale) ⚽
45+1'
54'
🟨 Marko Stamenić
Paul Smyth 🟨
59'
Jimmy Dunne (Richard Kone) ⚽
86'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
12
Total Shots
8
5
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
8
7
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
0
Starting Lineups
QPR (4-1-4-1)
P. Charles
K. Adamson
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
B. Kemper
J. Varane
K. Poku
G. Kamara
H. Vale
P. Smyth
R. Kone
Swansea (4-3-3)
L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah
B. Cabango
S. Welsh
J. Tymon
E. Just
M. Stamenić
S. Eustáquio
M. Widell
A. Idah
Joseph Okopu
Player Ratings ?
QPR
R. KoneF9.4
J. DunneD9.0
K. PokuM7.7
Swansea
A. IdahF6.7
Z. VipotnikF6.4
Eom Ji-SungF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. QPR edge attack, Swansea edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Attack
QPR slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Swansea arrive with an impressive away record of four wins from their last five outings, while QPR have secured two victories and two draws in their home sample of the same size. QPR have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only managed one clean sheet during that identical run. The hosts face a squad with three confirmed absences and one player under doubt, whereas Swansea can field a full team with just two players out. Swansea rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while QPR hold a slight advantage in attack. Swansea won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 April 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to QPR's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.2 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4
Swansea unbeaten run
4/5
One-goal H2H results
47%
Swansea yellow cards after 75'
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
QPR win
Latest market chance 37.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
37.6% → 37.4%
−0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.2%
+0.3 pts
Swansea win
Latest market chance 34.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.5% → 34.4%
−0.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
QPR
Draw
Swansea
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
QPRSwansea
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
2nd
11
Games Played
11
1.55
Points/Game
2.09
1.36
Goals/Game
1.45
1.09
Conceded/Game
0.73
15.1
Shots/Game
11.9
4.8
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
QPR at home (8 matches) vs Swansea away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.50
2.00
Goals/Game
1.38
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.88
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
QPR
Home form
D
W
L
D
W
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Swansea
Away form
W
W
L
W
W
Won 4 of last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
QPR Wins
2
Draws
0
Swansea Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.2
QPR1 – 2Swansea
Swansea0 – 1QPR
QPR1 – 2Swansea
Swansea3 – 0QPR
Swansea0 – 1QPR
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
QPRvs
Swansea
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.10
Goals conceded / game
0.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
4/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.0%→Latest 49.1%+0.1 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.6%→Latest 54.6%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?