QPR vs Lincoln Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Loftus Road
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.68
Draw
4.22
Away Win
4.83
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
QPR
Lincoln
1'
🟨 Conor McGrandles
Paul Smyth 🟨
8'
Richard Kone (Boy Kemper) ⚽
11'
29'
⚽ Dom Jefferies (F. Draper)
33'
🟨 Yunus Konak
Glen Kamara (Ilias Chair) ⚽
80'
Dennis Cirkin 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
69%
Ball Possession
31%
20
Total Shots
12
4
Shots on Goal
3
6
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
12
2
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
QPR (4-2-3-1)
P. Charles
K. Adamson
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
B. Kemper
J. Varane
G. Kamara
K. Poku
H. Vale
P. Smyth
R. Kone
Lincoln (4-4-2)
G. Wickens
D. Oyegoke
D. Elerewe
S. Bradley
A. Reach
R. Hackett
C. McGrandles
Y. Konak
D. Jefferies
F. Draper
M. Ladefoged
Player Ratings ?
QPR
G. KamaraM8.2
R. KoneF7.8
B. KemperD7.6
Lincoln
D. JefferiesM7.4
F. DraperF7.3
S. BradleyD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. QPR edge recent form, attack and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
QPR slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Defence
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.
Match Analysis
Lincoln have recorded two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, while QPR sit on two victories alongside two draws in their last five home matches. QPR have found the net in four of their last five home fixtures but have kept just one clean sheet during that same period. QPR rate stronger on attack and defence, with a slight advantage in form. Over the 4-day comparison window, QPR's implied win probability has risen by 5.5 percentage points, while Lincoln's implied win probability has fallen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards QPR
QPR's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a QPR win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
QPR win
Latest market chance 57.4%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
51.9% → 57.4%
+5.5 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.7%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
25.1% → 23.7%
−1.4 pts
Lincoln win
Latest market chance 18.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
23.0% → 18.9%
−4.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
QPR
Draw
Lincoln
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
QPRLincoln
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
19th
14
Games Played
14
1.50
Points/Game
1.07
1.57
Goals/Game
1.00
1.21
Conceded/Game
1.71
15.1
Shots/Game
12.3
4.8
Shots on Target
3.1
Home vs Away Context
QPR at home (8 matches) vs Lincoln away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.25
2.00
Goals/Game
0.88
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.25
50%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
QPR
Home form
L
D
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Lincoln
Away form
W
W
L
D
L
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
No previous meetings on record between QPR and Lincoln.
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
QPRvs
Lincoln
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.3%→Latest 53.7%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 53.0%−4.4 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?