QPR vs Burnley Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Loftus Road
Tue 03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.02
Draw
3.81
Away Win
3.57
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 1
Match Events ?
QPR
Burnley
2'
🟨 Josh Laurent
38'
⚽ Largie Ramazani (Jamie Vardy)
Jonathan Varane 🟨
50'
Jonathan Varane (Ilias Chair) ⚽
65'
90+3'
🟨 Oliver Sonne
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
20
Total Shots
4
5
Shots on Goal
1
8
Corner Kicks
1
5
Fouls
7
1
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
QPR (4-4-2)
P. Charles
K. Adamson
J. Dunne
R. Edwards
D. Cirkin
H. Vale
J. Varane
G. Kamara
K. Saito
R. Kone
P. Smyth
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
G. Coudert
K. Walker
H. Ekdal
Igor
Lucas Pires
J. Laurent
R. Hatate
A. Hountondji
M. Edwards
L. Ramazani
J. Vardy
Player Ratings ?
QPR
J. VaraneM7.6
H. ValeM7.2
G. KamaraM7.1
Burnley
G. CoudertG7.2
A. HountondjiM6.9
L. RamazaniM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. QPR edge recent form, attack and defence, Burnley edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Attack
QPR slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
QPR stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Burnley stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Burnley have only managed a solitary victory and a draw from their last five away outings, while QPR boast three wins and a single defeat from their corresponding home sample. QPR have found the net in four of their last five home matches but have managed just one clean sheet during that same period. The hosts carry four unavailable players, whereas Burnley face nine confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful. QPR rate stronger on form and defence, with a slight advantage in attack, while Burnley rate stronger on head-to-head. Burnley won the most recent meeting 5-0 on 26 April 2025, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to QPR's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, QPR's implied win probability has risen by 2.8 percentage points, while Burnley's implied win probability has fallen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards QPR
QPR's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a QPR win as more likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
QPR win
Latest market chance 47.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
44.3% → 47.1%
+2.8 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 25.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
25.8% → 25.6%
−0.2 pts
Burnley win
Latest market chance 27.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
29.9% → 27.3%
−2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
QPR
Draw
Burnley
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
QPRBurnley
Season Profile
This season
9th
League Position
22nd
13
Games Played
13
1.54
Points/Game
0.69
1.62
Goals/Game
1.31
1.23
Conceded/Game
1.92
15.1
Shots/Game
13.5
4.8
Shots on Target
4.2
Home vs Away Context
QPR at home (8 matches) vs Burnley away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
0.62
2.00
Goals/Game
1.75
0.88
Conceded/Game
2.62
50%
Win Rate
12%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
QPR
Home form
W
L
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Burnley
Away form
L
D
L
W
L
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
QPR Wins
1
Draws
1
Burnley Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.4
QPR0 – 5Burnley
Burnley0 – 0QPR
Burnley1 – 2QPR
QPR0 – 3Burnley
Burnley1 – 0QPR
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
QPRvs
Burnley
Recent Scoring Profile
1.60
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 57.0%→Latest 56.3%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 60.2%→Latest 59.0%−1.2 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?