Preston vs Southampton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Deepdale Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.08
Draw
4.39
Away Win
1.62
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Preston
Southampton
Stanley Mills 🟨
3'
Liam Lindsay 🟨
32'
Jordan Thompson ⚽
33'
Andrew Hughes 🟨
37'
Ed Nolan 🟨
74'
Thierry Small 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
22%
Ball Possession
78%
15
Total Shots
23
2
Shots on Goal
8
3
Corner Kicks
9
17
Fouls
6
5
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Preston (3-4-3)
L. Nicholls
O. Offiah
L. Lindsay
A. Hughes
S. Mills
A. Moran
J. Thompson
A. Vukčević
A. Devine
C. Lang
T. Small
Southampton (4-2-3-1)
Daniel Peretz
J. Bree
J. Stephens
K. Schlotterbeck
Welington
F. Downes
J. Ward-Prowse
K. Matsuki
F. Azaz
Léo Scienza
L. Dobbin
Player Ratings ?
Preston
L. NichollsG9.0
J. ThompsonM8.0
G. DochertyM7.0
Southampton
F. AzazM7.2
J. Ward-ProwseM7.2
Z. AbbottD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Southampton
Southampton rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Southampton a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Southampton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Southampton have enjoyed a mixed run away from home with two wins and two draws in their last five matches, while Preston struggle at this venue having recorded just one win and suffered three defeats in the same span. At home, Preston have found the net in three of their last five outings but remain without a single clean sheet across that identical sample period. Southampton rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Southampton won the most recent meeting 3-1 on 2 May 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Preston's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Preston's implied win probability has risen by 1.4 percentage points, while Southampton's implied win probability has fallen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Southampton a strong edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Southampton
Southampton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Southampton win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Preston win
Latest market chance 19.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
17.9% → 19.3%
+1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
21.3% → 22.6%
+1.3 pts
Southampton win
Latest market chance 58.1%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
60.8% → 58.1%
−2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Preston
Draw
Southampton
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PrestonSouthampton
Season Profile
This season
24th
League Position
1st
14
Games Played
14
0.36
Points/Game
2.00
0.86
Goals/Game
2.07
2.14
Conceded/Game
1.00
11.7
Shots/Game
15.6
2.4
Shots on Target
5.0
Home vs Away Context
Preston at home (8 matches) vs Southampton away (8 matches)
0.88
Points/Game
1.12
1.00
Goals/Game
1.12
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.25
25%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Preston
Home form
W
L
L
D
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Southampton
Away form
D
L
W
W
D
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Preston Wins
1
Draws
1
Southampton Wins
3
Avg Goals
3.4
Preston1 – 3Southampton
Southampton0 – 2Preston
Southampton3 – 0Preston
Preston2 – 2Southampton
Southampton3 – 1Preston
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Prestonvs
Southampton
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.10
Goals conceded / game
0.90
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 61.5%→Latest 59.9%−1.6 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 58.5%−0.2 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?