Portsmouth vs Swansea Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Fratton Park
Tue 03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.75
Draw
3.31
Away Win
2.70
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 1
Match Events ?
Portsmouth
Swansea
Ebou Adams 🟨
21'
Terry Devlin (Odin Bailey) ⚽
36'
Regan Poole 🟨
83'
85'
⚽ (P) Zan Vipotnik
89'
🟨 Vitor Matos
Terry Devlin ⚽
90+2'
Thomas Waddingham ⚽
90+8'
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
13
Total Shots
9
5
Shots on Goal
3
5
Corner Kicks
5
12
Fouls
8
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
N. Schmid
T. Devlin
R. Poole
M. Dia
J. Meghoma
E. Adams
I. Mohamed
A. Segecic
O. Bailey
T. Shade
M. Milovanović
Swansea (4-3-3)
L. Vigouroux
F. Lissah
J. Seelt
S. Welsh
J. Tymon
Gonçalo Franco
J. Fulton
M. Stamenić
Joseph Okopu
A. Idah
M. Widell
Player Ratings ?
Portsmouth
T. DevlinD7.7
T. WaddinghamF7.5
M. DiaD6.6
Swansea
Z. VipotnikF7.8
E. JustF7.0
M. WidellF6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Portsmouth edge defence, Swansea edge recent form and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Swansea slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Swansea stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Swansea have recorded three wins from their last five away outings, while Portsmouth boast a strong home record with three victories and a single draw in their most recent five matches at the club's ground. Portsmouth have scored in four of their last five home matches but have kept just one clean sheet during that same recent spell. Six players are unavailable for Portsmouth, whereas Swansea will field a squad with three absentees ahead of the Championship clash. Swansea rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in form, while Portsmouth rate stronger on defence, while attack is closely matched. Swansea won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 10 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Portsmouth's 1, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards the draw
the draw's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a draw as more likely than it did 4 days ago. Swansea remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 35.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
36.4% → 35.0%
−1.4 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.6% → 29.1%
+1.5 pts
Swansea win
Latest market chance 35.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
36.0% → 35.8%
−0.2 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Portsmouth
Draw
Swansea
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PortsmouthSwansea
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
3rd
13
Games Played
13
1.46
Points/Game
2.00
1.23
Goals/Game
1.54
1.15
Conceded/Game
1.00
13.4
Shots/Game
11.9
3.6
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Portsmouth at home (8 matches) vs Swansea away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
1.50
1.75
Goals/Game
1.38
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.88
50%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Portsmouth
Home form
L
W
D
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Swansea
Away form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Portsmouth Wins
1
Draws
2
Swansea Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.4
Portsmouth1 – 2Swansea
Swansea1 – 0Portsmouth
Portsmouth4 – 0Swansea
Swansea2 – 2Portsmouth
Portsmouth0 – 0Swansea
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Portsmouthvs
Swansea
Recent Scoring Profile
1.20
Goals scored / game
1.50
0.80
Goals conceded / game
1.20
3/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 52.8%→Latest 45.6%−7.2 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.4%→Latest 52.0%−5.4 pts
Strong move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?