Portsmouth vs Sheffield United Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Fratton Park
Wed 14 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.22
Draw
3.48
Away Win
3.30
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 2
Match Events ?
Portsmouth
Sheffield United
Jayden Meghoma 🟨
27'
35'
🟨 Hamza Choudhury
Zak Swanson ⚽
41'
44'
🟥 Hamza Choudhury
Adrian Segecic (Ryan Kavuma-McQueen) ⚽
54'
59'
⚽ Japhet Tanganga (Tahith Chong)
Nicolas Schmid 🟨
60'
60'
🟨 Sam McCallum
67'
⚽ Thomas Cannon (Kalvin Phillips)
Ebou Adams 🟨
82'
Ebou Adams ⚽
89'
Match Statistics ?
67%
Ball Possession
33%
24
Total Shots
11
7
Shots on Goal
4
10
Corner Kicks
6
6
Fouls
7
3
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
1
4
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
N. Schmid
Z. Swanson
R. Poole
M. Dia
J. Meghoma
M. Pack
I. Mohamed
A. Kamara
A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen
M. Milovanović
Sheffield United (4-4-2)
M. Cooper
H. Choudhury
J. Tanganga
L. Kitching
S. McCallum
T. Chong
Sydie Peck
J. Rothwell
B. Brereton
T. Cannon
P. Bamford
Player Ratings ?
Portsmouth
A. SegecicM8.2
M. DiaD7.4
R. Kavuma McQueenM7.4
Sheffield United
T. CannonF7.5
J. TangangaD6.8
K. PhillipsM6.6
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Portsmouth edge attack and defence, Sheffield United edge recent form and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Sheffield United stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Portsmouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Portsmouth slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Sheffield United stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Sheffield United have recorded two wins and two draws from their last five away matches, while Portsmouth have managed just one win in their corresponding home outings over the same span. Portsmouth have scored in four of their last five home games but have only kept a clean sheet once during that identical period. Portsmouth face six confirmed absences with no doubtful cases, whereas Sheffield United list one player as doubtful despite having no confirmed outsidess. Sheffield United rate stronger on form and head-to-head, while Portsmouth hold a slight advantage in attack and defence. Sheffield United won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 14 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Portsmouth's 1, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Portsmouth's implied win probability has risen by 3.3 percentage points, while Sheffield United's implied win probability has fallen by 2.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Portsmouth
Portsmouth's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Portsmouth win as more likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 42.6%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
38.5% → 42.6%
+4.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
28.2% → 27.8%
−0.4 pts
Sheffield United win
Latest market chance 29.6%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
33.3% → 29.6%
−3.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Portsmouth
Draw
Sheffield United
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
PortsmouthSheffield United
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
15th
8
Games Played
9
1.00
Points/Game
1.33
1.12
Goals/Game
1.33
1.38
Conceded/Game
1.22
13.4
Shots/Game
11.5
3.6
Shots on Target
4.1
Home vs Away Context
Portsmouth at home (8 matches) vs Sheffield United away (8 matches)
1.62
Points/Game
1.38
1.75
Goals/Game
1.50
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Portsmouth
Home form
D
L
L
W
D
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Sheffield United
Away form
W
D
D
W
L
2W 2D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Portsmouth Wins
1
Draws
1
Sheffield United Wins
3
Avg Goals
2.0
Portsmouth0 – 1Sheffield United
Sheffield United3 – 0Portsmouth
Sheffield United2 – 1Portsmouth
Portsmouth0 – 0Sheffield United
Portsmouth3 – 0Sheffield United
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Portsmouthvs
Sheffield United
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.20
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 48.9%→Latest 49.7%+0.8 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 54.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Portsmouth's 10 matches and 1 of Sheffield United's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?