Norwich vs Portsmouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Carrow Road
Sat 17 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.87
Draw
3.68
Away Win
4.25
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Norwich
Portsmouth
51'
⚽ (P) Marko Milovanović
55'
🟨 Marko Milovanović
64'
🟨 Ryan Kavuma-McQueen
Oscar Schwartau 🟨
66'
Mathias Kvistgaarden 🟨
90'
Darlin Yongwa 🟨
90+3'
Match Statistics ?
55%
Ball Possession
45%
9
Total Shots
9
2
Shots on Goal
2
1
Corner Kicks
1
13
Fouls
13
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
5
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Norwich (4-2-3-1)
D. Grimshaw
J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville
J. Córdoba
B. Chrisene
Jacob Wright
P. Mattsson
A. Brooks
A. Ben Slimane
O. Schwartau
J. Makama
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
N. Schmid
Z. Swanson
R. Poole
M. Dia
J. Meghoma
M. Pack
I. Mohamed
A. Kamara
A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen
M. Milovanović
Player Ratings ?
Norwich
B. ChriseneD7.0
Ruairi McConvilleD6.9
A. Ben SlimaneM6.8
Portsmouth
R. PooleD7.4
M. DiaD7.3
I. MohamedM7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Norwich edge attack and head-to-head, Portsmouth edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Portsmouth have secured two wins from their last five away outings, while Norwich have won just twice in their last five home fixtures. Norwich have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same span. Both squads face significant availability concerns, with Norwich having five players out and Portsmouth carrying seven unavailable options ahead of the clash. Portsmouth rate stronger on form and defence, while Norwich rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 3 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 3-day comparison window, Norwich's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points, while Portsmouth's implied win probability has risen by 1.8 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Advertisement
Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Norwich
Norwich's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Norwich win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Norwich win
Latest market chance 52.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
55.2% → 52.3%
−2.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
23.6% → 24.8%
+1.2 pts
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 23.0%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
21.2% → 23.0%
+1.8 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
NorwichPortsmouth
Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
16th
10
Games Played
9
0.90
Points/Game
1.22
1.70
Goals/Game
1.33
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.44
14.7
Shots/Game
13.4
5.3
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Norwich at home (7 matches) vs Portsmouth away (8 matches)
1.29
Points/Game
1.25
1.86
Goals/Game
0.88
1.71
Conceded/Game
0.75
43%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Norwich
Home form
L
W
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
2.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Portsmouth
Away form
W
L
D
D
L
1W 2D 2L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Norwich Wins
2
Draws
2
Portsmouth Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Norwich1 – 1Portsmouth
Portsmouth1 – 2Norwich
Norwich3 – 5Portsmouth
Portsmouth0 – 0Norwich
Portsmouth0 – 1Norwich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Norwichvs
Portsmouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.30
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.7%→Latest 54.4%−4.3 pts
Strong move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.8%→Latest 55.7%−2.1 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?