Millwall vs Derby Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Derby have managed just one victory in their last five away outings, while Millwall sit on an identical tally of a single win from five home fixtures. Millwall have found the net in three of their last five matches at home, though they have only kept one clean sheet during that same span. Millwall rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Millwall won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 10 March 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Derby's 0, with 2 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 5-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives Millwall a slight edge.