Middlesbrough vs Charlton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Riverside Stadium
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.26
Draw
6.41
Away Win
10.06
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 0
Match Events ?
Middlesbrough
Charlton
9'
🟨 Tyler Bindon
Sebastian Berhalter (Amario Cozier-Duberry) ⚽
12'
Riley McGree 🟨
36'
will lankshear (Sebastian Berhalter) ⚽
44'
Ashley Phillips 🟨
58'
will lankshear ⚽
82'
Match Statistics ?
58%
Ball Possession
42%
16
Total Shots
7
6
Shots on Goal
0
8
Corner Kicks
4
7
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
1
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Middlesbrough (4-2-3-1)
R. Vítek
C. Brittain
A. Phillips
A. Malanda
Neto Borges
S. Berhalter
A. Morris
A. Cozier-Duberry
R. McGree
T. Conway
W. Lankshear
Charlton (5-3-2)
A. Okonkwo
K. Ramsay
L. Jones
Tyler Bindon
Billy Dawson Koumetio
A. Bell
H. Knibbs
O. Skipp
C. Kelman
J. Rankin-Costello
M. Leaburn
Player Ratings ?
Middlesbrough
S. BerhalterM9.0
W. LankshearF8.9
A. Cozier-DuberryM7.6
Charlton
C. KelmanM6.7
T. CampbellF6.6
M. LeaburnF6.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Middlesbrough a strong edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Middlesbrough stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Middlesbrough stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Middlesbrough stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Middlesbrough stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Middlesbrough have enjoyed a solid run at home with three wins and two draws from their last five outings, whereas Charlton have struggled away from home with no victories, two draws and three defeats in that same span. The Boro have scored in all five of their recent home matches but have only kept one clean sheet in that period. Both sides face selection issues, with Middlesbrough having one certain absence and two doubtful players while Charlton have two confirmed out and two doubtful for the fixture. Middlesbrough rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Charlton won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 11 March 2026, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Middlesbrough's 3, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.6 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Middlesbrough's implied win probability has risen by 2.1 percentage points, while Charlton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Middlesbrough a strong edge.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
4/5
One-goal H2H results
2
Charlton points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Middlesbrough win as more likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Middlesbrough win
Latest market chance 75.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
73.0% → 75.1%
+2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 15.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
16.4% → 15.4%
−1.0 pts
Charlton win
Latest market chance 9.5%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
10.6% → 9.5%
−1.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Middlesbrough
Draw
Charlton
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
MiddlesbroughCharlton
Season Profile
This season
1st
League Position
19th
12
Games Played
12
2.08
Points/Game
1.17
2.25
Goals/Game
0.92
1.42
Conceded/Game
1.50
19.1
Shots/Game
10.0
6.1
Shots on Target
2.7
Home vs Away Context
Middlesbrough at home (7 matches) vs Charlton away (7 matches)
2.43
Points/Game
0.71
2.43
Goals/Game
0.86
1.29
Conceded/Game
2.29
71%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Middlesbrough
Home form
W
W
D
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Charlton
Away form
D
L
L
D
L
Winless in last 5 away
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Middlesbrough Wins
3
Draws
0
Charlton Wins
2
Avg Goals
1.6
Middlesbrough0 – 1Charlton
Charlton1 – 2Middlesbrough
Charlton0 – 1Middlesbrough
Middlesbrough1 – 0Charlton
Charlton2 – 0Middlesbrough
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Middlesbroughvs
Charlton
Recent Scoring Profile
2.40
Goals scored / game
0.70
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.60
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.9%→Latest 67.0%+1.1 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 52.8%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?