Lincoln vs West Ham Head to Head | Championship

Match Report

Full Time

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Match Events

Lincoln

West Ham

Thomas Hamer 🟥

Conor McGrandles 🟥

23'

45'

⚽ Konstantinos Mavropanos (Jarrod Bowen)

48'

⚽ Edvin Austbö (Joel Piroe)

50'

⚽ Jarrod Bowen (Arne Engels)

51'

🟨 Konstantinos Mavropanos

75'

⚽ Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus (Edvin Austbö)

79'

⚽ Tomáš Souček (Jarrod Bowen)

89'

⚽ Tomáš Souček

90+1'

🟨 Pablo Felipe Pereira de Jesus

Match Statistics

17%

Ball Possession

83%

Total Shots

Shots on Goal

Corner Kicks

Fouls

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

Offsides

Goalkeeper Saves

Starting Lineups

Lincoln (4-2-3-1)

G. Wickens

D. Elerewe

T. Hamer

S. Bradley

C. Elder

C. McGrandles

I. Varfolomeev

C. Ogbene

D. Oyegoke

B. House

F. Draper

West Ham (4-4-1-1)

M. Hermansen

J. Veltman

K. Mavropanos

M. Kilman

Morato

J. Bowen

A. Engels

M. Kanté

M. Solomon

Pablo

J. Piroe

Player Ratings

Lincoln

G. WickensG6.7

R. StreetF6.3

I. VarfolomeevM6.1

West Ham

J. BowenM9.8

T. SoučekM8.8

E. AustböF8.1

Before Kickoff

Match Prediction

Data favours

West Ham

West Ham rate stronger in recent form and attack; defence is closely matched, giving West Ham a slight edge.

Leads 2 of 3 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

West Ham stronger

HomeAway

Attack

West Ham stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Closely matched

HomeAway

Head-to-head unavailable — prediction based on form, attack and defence.

Match Analysis

West Ham have enjoyed a solid away run with two wins and three draws from their last five outings across seasons, whereas Lincoln remain winless at home in their last four matches with just two draws to show for it. Lincoln have found the net in three of their last four home games but have managed only a single clean sheet during that same span. There are two players unavailable for Lincoln and one missing from West Ham's squad ahead of this Championship fixture. West Ham rate stronger on form and attack, while defence is closely matched. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison gives West Ham a slight edge.

Pre-Match Context

Notable Numbers

West Ham unbeaten run

47%

West Ham yellow cards after 75'

Lincoln points from last 4 matches

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Lincoln win

Latest market chance 20.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

20.3% → 20.1%

−0.2 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 23.6%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.1% → 23.6%

+0.5 pts

West Ham win

Latest market chance 56.3%

Steady

Market view unchanged

56.6% → 56.3%

−0.3 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

4 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Lincoln

Draw

West Ham

9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Lincoln

West Ham

Season Profile

This season

17th

League Position

6th

Games Played

1.22

Points/Game

1.78

0.78

Goals/Game

2.56

1.22

Conceded/Game

1.33

12.3

Shots/Game

17.3

3.1

Shots on Target

6.6

Home vs Away Context

Lincoln at home (7 matches) vs West Ham away (8 matches)

0.71

Points/Game

1.62

1.14

Goals/Game

2.38

2.29

Conceded/Game

1.50

14%

Win Rate

38%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Lincoln

Home form

Winless in last 4 at home

Limited history — only 4 home fixtures on record for Lincoln.

0.75

Goals scored
per match

1.5

Goals conceded
per match

3/4

Scored in
last 4

1/4

Clean
sheets

West Ham

Away form

Unbeaten in last 5 away

1 of these match from last season.

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.6

Goals conceded
per match

5/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

No previous meetings on record between Lincoln and West Ham.

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Lincoln

West Ham

Recent Scoring Profile

0.78

Goals scored / game

2.50

1.22

Goals conceded / game

1.30

4/9

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

8/10

4/9

Both Teams Scored

8/10

2/9

Failed to Score

0/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

78.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

57.1%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

36.0%

BTTSBoth teams score

56.5%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 57.3%→Latest 56.8%−0.5 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 56.1%→Latest 56.5%+0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

7 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Lincoln have only 9 completed fixtures on record.

1 of West Ham's 10 matches are from last season.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Lincoln vs West Ham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis