Lincoln vs Birmingham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Sincil Bank
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.46
Draw
3.46
Away Win
2.21
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Lincoln
Birmingham
16'
⚽ August Priske
Mikkel Ladefoged 🟨
25'
27'
🟨 Liam Millar
32'
🟨 Ethan Laird
Tom William Shaw 🟨
35'
Dom Jefferies 🟨
42'
60'
⚽ August Priske (Christoph·Klarer)
Tom Bayliss (Mikkel Ladefoged) ⚽
63'
73'
⚽ Alex Cochrane (Ryan Allsop)
Yunus Konak 🟨
89'
Match Statistics ?
54%
Ball Possession
46%
12
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Goal
7
3
Corner Kicks
3
14
Fouls
9
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
4
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
5
Starting Lineups
Lincoln (4-2-3-1)
G. Wickens
A. Coubiș
D. Elerewe
S. Bradley
A. Reach
Y. Konak
I. Varfolomeev
R. Hackett
D. Jefferies
B. House
M. Ladefoged
Birmingham (4-2-3-1)
J. Beadle
E. Laird
P. Neumann
C. Klarer
A. Cochrane
T. Iwata
J. Solis
P. Roberts
J. Stansfield
L. Millar
A. Priske
Player Ratings ?
Lincoln
M. LadefogedF6.8
T. BaylissM6.7
C. OgbeneF6.6
Birmingham
A. PriskeF8.8
J. BeadleG7.5
L. MillarM6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Birmingham
Birmingham rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Birmingham a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Birmingham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Birmingham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Birmingham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Birmingham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Birmingham have managed three wins from their last five away outings, while Lincoln have recorded just one victory in their corresponding home sample. Lincoln have scored in three of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that same period. Three players are unavailable for Lincoln, whereas Birmingham face two confirmed absences alongside one player listed as doubtful. Birmingham rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Birmingham won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 8 March 2025, having won 2 of the last 2 encounters to Lincoln's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Lincoln's implied win probability has risen by 0.7 percentage points, while Birmingham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives Birmingham a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Birmingham
Birmingham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Birmingham win as less likely than it did 5 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Lincoln win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.6%
+0.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.3% → 27.5%
+0.2 pts
Birmingham win
Latest market chance 43.9%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
44.9% → 43.9%
−1.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Lincoln
Draw
Birmingham
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
LincolnBirmingham
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
7th
12
Games Played
12
1.25
Points/Game
1.67
1.08
Goals/Game
1.67
1.67
Conceded/Game
1.00
12.3
Shots/Game
14.3
3.1
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Lincoln at home (7 matches) vs Birmingham away (7 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.86
1.14
Goals/Game
1.29
2.29
Conceded/Game
0.86
14%
Win Rate
57%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Lincoln
Home form
D
D
L
L
W
1W 2D 2L in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Birmingham
Away form
W
L
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 away
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Lincoln Wins
0
Draws
0
Birmingham Wins
2
Avg Goals
2.5
Birmingham1 – 0Lincoln
Lincoln1 – 3Birmingham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Lincolnvs
Birmingham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.80
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.00
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
4/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 49.5%→Latest 49.2%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.6%→Latest 54.1%+0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?