Derby vs Wrexham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Derby arrive at home with a poor recent record of just one draw from their last five outings, while Wrexham have secured only a solitary victory in the same span across their away fixtures. Derby have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet in that same period. Both Derby and Wrexham face significant availability concerns, with seven and six players out respectively for the upcoming fixture. Wrexham rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while attack is closely matched. Wrexham won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 4 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Derby's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.5 goals per meeting. Over the 20-day comparison window, Derby's implied win probability has risen by 1.3 percentage points, while Wrexham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.