Derby vs Watford Head to Head, Prediction

Pride Park
Sat 28 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Match Prediction
Data favours
Watford
Watford rate stronger in recent form and head-to-head; Derby edge attack; defence is closely matched, giving Watford a slight edge.
Leads 2 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Watford stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Derby slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Closely matched
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Watford stronger
HomeAway
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Market View
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How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Not enough odds history yet to show market movement for this fixture.
Team Comparison
Derby
Watford
Season Profile
This season
23rd
League Position
20th
15
Games Played
15
0.67
Points/Game
1.00
0.93
Goals/Game
0.87
2.00
Conceded/Game
1.53
11.9
Shots/Game
12.1
3.8
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Derby at home (8 matches) vs Watford away (7 matches)
0.62
Points/Game
0.14
0.88
Goals/Game
0.57
1.88
Conceded/Game
2.00
12%
Win Rate
0%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Derby
Home form
L
D
L
L
W
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
1.0
Goals scored
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Watford
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Derby Wins
0
Draws
0
Watford Wins
5
Avg Goals
3.0
2026-02-212025-2026
Watford2 – 0Derby
2025-11-222025-2026
Derby2 – 3Watford
2025-01-182024-2025
Derby0 – 2Watford
2024-08-242024-2025
Watford2 – 1Derby
2021-02-192020-2021
Watford2 – 1Derby
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Derby
vs
Watford
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
0.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.70
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
5/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
4/10
3/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Match Poll
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