Charlton vs Norwich Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Valley
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.33
Draw
3.51
Away Win
2.21
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 3
Match Events ?
Charlton
Norwich
Charlie Kelman (Joe Rankin-Costello) ⚽
10'
Karlan Grant 🟨
27'
29'
🟨 Mathias Kvistgaarden
Josh Edwards 🟨
32'
35'
⚽ Paris Maghoma (Mathias Kvistgaarden)
50'
⚽ Mathias Kvistgaarden (Ruairi McConville)
Harvey Knibbs 🟨
69'
76'
⚽ (OG) Ivan Mesik
78'
🟨 Ante Crnac
Alan Mwamba 🟨
88'
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
8
Total Shots
16
3
Shots on Goal
5
3
Corner Kicks
7
14
Fouls
9
4
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Charlton (4-2-3-1)
A. Okonkwo
K. Ramsay
L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio
J. Edwards
C. Coventry
J. Rankin-Costello
T. Campbell
S. Carey
K. Ahearne-Grant
C. Kelman
Norwich (4-2-3-1)
D. Grimshaw
J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville
H. Darling
B. Chrisene
Jacob Wright
P. Mattsson
A. Brooks
P. Maghoma
O. Schwartau
M. Kvistgaarden
Player Ratings ?
Charlton
C. KelmanF7.6
J. Rankin-CostelloM6.5
M. LeaburnF6.4
Norwich
M. KvistgaardenF8.2
P. MaghomaM8.0
Ruairi McConvilleD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charlton edge recent form and defence, Norwich edge attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Charlton have enjoyed an unbeaten run in their last five home matches with two wins and three draws, while Norwich have struggled away from home with just a solitary victory in their last five outings. At the club's ground, Charlton have scored in three of their last five fixtures but have also kept three clean sheets during that same span. The hosts face two confirmed absences ahead of the clash, whereas Norwich are dealing with three certain unavailabilities alongside two players listed as doubtful for selection. Charlton rate stronger on form and defence, while Norwich rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. Norwich won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 21 March 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Charlton's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 1.8 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Charlton's implied win probability has risen by 0.9 percentage points, while Norwich's implied win probability has fallen by 1.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5/5
One-goal H2H results
3
Norwich points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Norwich
Norwich's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Norwich win as less likely than it did 4 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charlton win
Latest market chance 29.3%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
28.4% → 29.3%
+0.9 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.7% → 27.4%
+0.7 pts
Norwich win
Latest market chance 43.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
44.9% → 43.3%
−1.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Charlton
Draw
Norwich
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharltonNorwich
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
21st
11
Games Played
11
1.27
Points/Game
0.82
0.91
Goals/Game
1.55
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.91
10.0
Shots/Game
14.7
2.7
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Charlton at home (8 matches) vs Norwich away (8 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.50
0.88
Goals/Game
2.38
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.50
38%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Charlton
Home form
W
W
D
D
D
Unbeaten in last 5 at home
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Norwich
Away form
L
L
W
L
L
Lost 4 of last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charlton Wins
1
Draws
0
Norwich Wins
4
Avg Goals
1.8
Charlton0 – 1Norwich
Norwich1 – 0Charlton
Charlton2 – 3Norwich
Norwich0 – 1Charlton
Charlton0 – 1Norwich
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charltonvs
Norwich
Recent Scoring Profile
0.80
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
4/10
Failed to Score
4/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 50.4%−0.7 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 55.1%→Latest 55.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?