Charlton vs Bolton Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
The Valley
Tue 03 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.28
Draw
3.64
Away Win
3.10
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Charlton
Bolton
18'
⚽ Sam Dalby
Harvey Knibbs 🟨
20'
75'
🟨 Ruben Rodrigues
Match Statistics ?
57%
Ball Possession
43%
14
Total Shots
11
2
Shots on Goal
3
4
Corner Kicks
3
9
Fouls
13
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
5
Offsides
1
2
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Charlton (4-2-3-1)
W. Mannion
D. McNamara
L. Jones
Billy Dawson Koumetio
A. Bell
N. Chalobah
C. Coventry
H. Knibbs
K. Ahearne-Grant
T. Campbell
C. Kelman
Bolton (4-2-3-1)
J. Bonham
Luca Stephenson
C. Forino-Joseph
A. Famewo
M. Conway
X. Simons
J. Sheehan
S. Iling-Junior
A. Ito
Max Lott
S. Dalby
Player Ratings ?
Charlton
T. CampbellM7.2
M. AlliF6.8
C. CoventryM6.7
Bolton
S. DalbyF7.7
T. GaleF7.0
A. FamewoD7.0
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Charlton edge defence and head-to-head, Bolton edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bolton stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Bolton stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Charlton slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Charlton stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Bolton have secured two wins and one draw from their last five away fixtures in the Championship, while Charlton have recorded a single victory alongside three draws during their home outings over the same period. Charlton have scored in just three of their last five home matches and have kept three clean sheets in that identical sample size. The Addicks face two confirmed absences and one doubtful player, whereas the Trotters are dealing with four confirmed unavailability concerns for their upcoming fixture. Bolton rate stronger on form and attack, while Charlton rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Charlton won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 21 January 2025, having won 2 of the last 5 encounters to Bolton's 2, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Charlton's implied win probability has fallen by 1.0 percentage points, while Bolton's implied win probability has risen by 1.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Slight shift away from Charlton
Charlton's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Charlton win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. This is a modest move, not a major change in market opinion.
Movement strength: Slight
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Charlton win
Latest market chance 41.4%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
42.4% → 41.4%
−1.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 26.9%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.9% → 26.9%
±0.0 pts
Bolton win
Latest market chance 31.7%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
30.7% → 31.7%
+1.0 pts
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CharltonBolton

Season Profile
This season
20th
League Position
19th
13
Games Played
13
1.08
Points/Game
1.08
0.85
Goals/Game
1.38
1.62
Conceded/Game
2.00
10.0
Shots/Game
14.1
2.7
Shots on Target
4.7
Home vs Away Context
Charlton at home (8 matches) vs Bolton away (8 matches)
1.50
Points/Game
1.38
0.88
Goals/Game
1.38
0.88
Conceded/Game
1.75
38%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches

Charlton
Home form
W
D
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
3/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS

Bolton
Away form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Charlton Wins
2
Draws
1
Bolton Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Bolton1 – 2Charlton
Charlton2 – 0Bolton
Bolton3 – 3Charlton
Charlton0 – 2Bolton
Charlton1 – 2Bolton
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Charltonvs
Bolton

Recent Scoring Profile
0.60
Goals scored / game
1.60
1.90
Goals conceded / game
2.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
5/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 53.1%→Latest 53.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.5%→Latest 57.5%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?