Cardiff vs West Ham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Cardiff City Stadium
Wed 04 Nov 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.32
Draw
4.26
Away Win
1.99
Match Report
Full Time
3 – 3
Match Events ?
Cardiff
West Ham
Jack Moylan (Alexander Sean Pablo Robertson) ⚽
11'
23'
🟨 Maximilian Kilman
25'
🟨 Soungoutou Magassa
Jack Moylan ⚽ (P)
37'
Jack Moylan (Joel Bagan) ⚽
39'
58'
⚽ Divine Mukasa (Jarrod Bowen)
65'
⚽ Arne Engels (Joel Piroe)
82'
⚽ Maximilian Kilman (Jarrod Bowen)
84'
🟨 Joël Veltman
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
7
Total Shots
18
4
Shots on Goal
10
4
Corner Kicks
6
9
Fouls
11
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
1
7
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Cardiff (4-1-4-1)
N. Trott
P. Ng
W. Fish
J. Bagan
C. Scanlon
A. Robertson
O. Tanner
J. Moylan
R. Colwill
C. Willock
Y. Salech
West Ham (4-4-1-1)
M. Hermansen
J. Veltman
K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman
Morato
J. Bowen
S. Magassa
A. Engels
M. Solomon
D. Mukasa
V. Castellanos
Player Ratings ?
Cardiff
J. MoylanM8.2
A. RobertsonM7.1
N. TrottG6.7
West Ham
J. BowenM8.6
A. EngelsM8.1
D. MukasaM8.1
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
West Ham
West Ham rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving West Ham a slight edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Ham arrive with a solid away record of three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Cardiff boast an equally impressive home tally of three wins and two losses-free draws in the same span. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five home matches but have kept just a single clean sheet during that identical period. Cardiff face two confirmed absences and two doubtful figures, whereas West Ham carry one certain absence alongside one player listed as doubtful. West Ham rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2019. Over the 3-day comparison window, Cardiff's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points, while West Ham's implied win probability has fallen by 1.5 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison gives West Ham a slight edge.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from West Ham
West Ham's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a West Ham win as less likely than it did 3 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Cardiff win
Latest market chance 28.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.4% → 28.6%
+1.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.8% → 23.2%
+0.4 pts
West Ham win
Latest market chance 48.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
49.8% → 48.3%
−1.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Cardiff
Draw
West Ham
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
CardiffWest Ham
Season Profile
This season
18th
League Position
8th
13
Games Played
13
1.08
Points/Game
1.69
1.46
Goals/Game
2.54
1.54
Conceded/Game
1.38
16.7
Shots/Game
17.3
6.3
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Cardiff at home (8 matches) vs West Ham away (8 matches)
2.00
Points/Game
1.62
2.62
Goals/Game
2.38
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.50
50%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Cardiff
Home form
D
D
W
W
W
Won 3 straight at home
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
West Ham
Away form
D
W
D
W
W
Unbeaten in last 5 away
2.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Cardiff Wins
1
Draws
0
West Ham Wins
4
Avg Goals
2.4
Cardiff2 – 0West Ham
West Ham3 – 1Cardiff
Cardiff0 – 2West Ham
West Ham2 – 0Cardiff
Cardiff0 – 2West Ham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Cardiffvs
West Ham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
2.90
1.50
Goals conceded / game
1.30
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
3/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 68.0%→Latest 68.6%+0.6 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.8%→Latest 68.7%+0.9 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?