Burnley vs Portsmouth Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Turf Moor
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.32
Draw
3.39
Away Win
3.23
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 0
Match Events ?
Burnley
Portsmouth
Josh Laurent 🟨
39'
39'
🟨 Jayden Meghoma
64'
🟨 John Michael Lewis Mousinho
Match Statistics ?
52%
Ball Possession
48%
18
Total Shots
5
4
Shots on Goal
0
5
Corner Kicks
2
10
Fouls
9
1
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Burnley (4-2-3-1)
G. Coudert
K. Walker
H. Ekdal
Igor
Lucas Pires
A. Hountondji
R. Hatate
M. Edwards
J. Laurent
L. Ramazani
J. Vardy
Portsmouth (4-2-3-1)
N. Schmid
Z. Swanson
R. Poole
M. Dia
J. Meghoma
M. Pack
I. Mohamed
A. Kamara
A. Segecic
R. Kavuma McQueen
M. Milovanović
Player Ratings ?
Burnley
J. BanelF6.9
L. RamazaniM6.8
J. CullenM6.7
Portsmouth
N. SchmidG7.3
M. DiaD6.9
R. PooleD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Burnley edge attack and head-to-head, Portsmouth edge recent form and defence, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Burnley stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Portsmouth stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Burnley stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Portsmouth have secured just one win from their last five away outings, whereas Burnley remain winless at home with two defeats in that same span. Burnley have found the net in all five of their recent home matches but have failed to keep a clean sheet during that period. The hosts face significant squad concerns with eleven players out and five doubtful, while Portsmouth have seven unavailable and two in doubt for the fixture. Portsmouth rate stronger on form and defence, while Burnley rate stronger on attack and head-to-head. The most recent meeting, on 1 February 2025, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 2.4 goals per meeting. Over the 5-day comparison window, Burnley's implied win probability has fallen by 4.2 percentage points, while Portsmouth's implied win probability has risen by 2.7 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Burnley
Burnley's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Burnley win as less likely than it did 5 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Burnley win
Latest market chance 41.8%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
46.0% → 41.8%
−4.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 28.4%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
27.0% → 28.4%
+1.4 pts
Portsmouth win
Latest market chance 29.7%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
27.0% → 29.7%
+2.7 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Burnley
Draw
Portsmouth
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 5 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BurnleyPortsmouth
Season Profile
This season
22nd
League Position
12th
12
Games Played
12
0.67
Points/Game
1.50
1.42
Goals/Game
1.33
2.08
Conceded/Game
1.25
13.5
Shots/Game
13.4
4.2
Shots on Target
3.6
Home vs Away Context
Burnley at home (7 matches) vs Portsmouth away (8 matches)
0.71
Points/Game
1.25
1.14
Goals/Game
0.88
1.43
Conceded/Game
0.75
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Burnley
Home form
D
L
D
D
L
Winless in last 5 at home
1.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Portsmouth
Away form
D
D
L
W
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Burnley Wins
2
Draws
2
Portsmouth Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.4
Portsmouth0 – 0Burnley
Burnley2 – 1Portsmouth
Portsmouth1 – 5Burnley
Burnley0 – 1Portsmouth
Burnley1 – 1Portsmouth
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Burnleyvs
Portsmouth
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.20
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.00
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
3/10
9/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
0/10
Failed to Score
3/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.0%→Latest 47.5%−2.5 pts
Notable move away from 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.2%→Latest 52.7%−1.5 pts
Notable move away from both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?