Bristol City vs Wolves Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis

Archived Result — stats and prediction shown as they stood before kickoff
Ashton Gate Stadium
Wed 04 Nov 2026 · 20:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
3.48
Draw
3.55
Away Win
2.14
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 2
Match Events ?
Bristol City
Wolves
Scott Twine ⚽
34'
Cameron Pring 🟨
63'
65'
🟨 Jean-Ricner Bellegarde
82'
⚽ Sean Neave
Luke McNally 🟨
88'
89'
⚽ Sean Neave (Ladislav Krejčí)
Match Statistics ?
38%
Ball Possession
62%
5
Total Shots
17
3
Shots on Goal
8
2
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
9
2
Yellow Cards
1
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
0
5
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
B. Collins
G. Tanner
L. McNally
L. Eissat
C. Pring
J. Knight
J. Williams
Rio Cardines
S. Bell
S. Twine
L. Tolaj
Wolves (4-2-3-1)
José Sá
K. Trippier
Y. Mosquera
L. Krejčí
Hugo Bueno
André
M. Munetsi
Fer López
J. Bellegarde
R. Saïd
A. Armstrong
Player Ratings ?
Bristol City
S. TwineM7.5
G. TannerD7.0
B. CollinsG6.7
Wolves
S. NeaveF9.4
L. KrejčíD7.6
Y. MosqueraD7.4
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bristol City edge defence, Wolves edge recent form, attack and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Wolves slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bristol City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wolves stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Wolves have secured two wins and a draw from their last five away outings, whereas Bristol City have suffered three defeats in their last five home matches. Bristol City have found the net in just two of their last five home fixtures while keeping just one clean sheet during that same period. The hosts face availability concerns with one player out and two listed as doubtful, while Wolves carry a heavier burden with two players unavailable and another two in doubt. Wolves rate stronger on form and head-to-head, with a slight advantage in attack, while Bristol City rate stronger on defence. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2017. The market has remained broadly steady over the 3-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
?
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 3 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol City win
Latest market chance 28.1%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.9% → 28.1%
+0.2 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.3%
Steady
Market view unchanged
27.2% → 27.3%
+0.1 pts
Wolves win
Latest market chance 44.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
44.9% → 44.5%
−0.4 pts
Movement over time
Change vs first comparable snapshot
4 snapshots
+1+0.50−0.5Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bristol City
Draw
Wolves
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 3 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol City
Wolves
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
7th
13
Games Played
13
1.38
Points/Game
1.85
1.15
Goals/Game
1.77
1.31
Conceded/Game
1.23
13.1
Shots/Game
16.9
4.3
Shots on Target
4.5
Home vs Away Context
Bristol City at home (8 matches) vs Wolves away (8 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.75
0.50
Goals/Game
1.62
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.38
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol City
Home form
W
L
W
L
L
Lost 3 of last 5 at home
0.6
Goals scored
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
VS
Wolves
Away form
L
D
W
L
W
2W 1D 2L in last 5 away
1.4
Goals scored
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bristol City Wins
1
Draws
1
Wolves Wins
3
Avg Goals
4.2
2017-12-302017-2018
Bristol City1 – 2Wolves
2017-09-122017-2018
Wolves3 – 3Bristol City
2017-04-082016-2017
Bristol City3 – 1Wolves
2016-12-262016-2017
Wolves3 – 2Bristol City
2016-03-082015-2016
Wolves2 – 1Bristol City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol City
vs
Wolves
Recent Scoring Profile
1.10
Goals scored / game
1.30
1.20
Goals conceded / game
0.90
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
4/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
4/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
73.9%
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
49.6%
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
29.6%
BTTSBoth teams score
54.2%
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.3%→Latest 49.8%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 54.9%→Latest 54.1%−0.8 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
Nov 1Nov 2Nov 3Nov 4
6 common bookmakers · first comparable 3 days before kickoff
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?
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