Bristol City vs Norwich Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ashton Gate Stadium
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 12:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.90
Draw
3.48
Away Win
2.51
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 5
Match Events ?
Bristol City
Norwich
22'
⚽ Paris Maghoma (Samuel Field)
53'
⚽ Harry Darling
56'
⚽ Andre Brooks
70'
⚽ J. Makama (Anthony Musaba)
80'
⚽ (P) Mathias Kvistgaarden
Match Statistics ?
53%
Ball Possession
47%
15
Total Shots
17
4
Shots on Goal
7
8
Corner Kicks
3
11
Fouls
4
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
B. Collins
G. Tanner
R. Dickie
L. Eissat
C. Pring
J. Williams
A. Randell
Rio Cardines
J. Knight
S. Twine
L. Tolaj
Norwich (4-2-3-1)
D. Grimshaw
J. Stacey
Ruairi McConville
H. Darling
B. Chrisene
S. Field
Jacob Wright
A. Brooks
P. Maghoma
A. Musaba
M. Kvistgaarden
Player Ratings ?
Bristol City
Rio CardinesM7.2
D. BallardF6.8
L. EissatD6.7
Norwich
P. MaghomaM7.9
A. BrooksM7.7
A. MusabaM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bristol City edge defence and head-to-head, Norwich edge recent form and attack, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Norwich stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Bristol City slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bristol City stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Norwich have secured three wins from their last five away fixtures, whereas Bristol City have suffered four defeats in that same span at home. Bristol City have found the net in two of their last five home matches but have only kept one clean sheet during that identical period. Norwich rate stronger on form and attack, while Bristol City rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence. Norwich won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 18 April 2026, having won 1 of the last 5 encounters to Bristol City's 3, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.8 goals per meeting. Over the 4-day comparison window, Bristol City's implied win probability has fallen by 3.0 percentage points, while Norwich's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
5
Norwich losing run
3
Bristol City points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Bristol City
Bristol City's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bristol City win as less likely than it did 4 days ago. Norwich remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol City win
Latest market chance 33.9%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
36.9% → 33.9%
−3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
26.8% → 27.2%
+0.4 pts
Norwich win
Latest market chance 38.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
36.3% → 38.9%
+2.6 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Bristol City
Draw
Norwich
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol CityNorwich
Season Profile
This season
15th
League Position
12th
14
Games Played
14
1.29
Points/Game
1.29
1.14
Goals/Game
1.93
1.36
Conceded/Game
1.71
13.1
Shots/Game
14.7
4.3
Shots on Target
5.3
Home vs Away Context
Bristol City at home (8 matches) vs Norwich away (8 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
1.50
0.50
Goals/Game
2.38
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.50
25%
Win Rate
50%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol City
Home form
L
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
0.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Norwich
Away form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 away
2.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bristol City Wins
3
Draws
1
Norwich Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.8
Bristol City2 – 4Norwich
Norwich0 – 1Bristol City
Bristol City2 – 1Norwich
Norwich0 – 2Bristol City
Norwich1 – 1Bristol City
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol Cityvs
Norwich
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.20
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.70
4/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
4/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 55.0%→Latest 53.7%−1.3 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 59.2%→Latest 58.7%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?