Bristol City vs Blackburn Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ashton Gate Stadium
Tue 13 Oct 2026 · 19:45 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.09
Draw
3.47
Away Win
3.64
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 1
Match Events ?
Bristol City
Blackburn
38'
⚽ Oladapo Afolayan (Sean McLoughlin)
Match Statistics ?
56%
Ball Possession
44%
20
Total Shots
3
7
Shots on Goal
1
10
Corner Kicks
5
8
Fouls
7
0
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
3
Offsides
5
0
Goalkeeper Saves
7
Starting Lineups
Bristol City (4-2-3-1)
S. Tickle
G. Tanner
L. Eissat
R. Atkinson
C. Pring
J. Knight
G. Yah
J. Wallace
S. Greenwood
S. Twine
D. Ballard
Blackburn (3-4-2-1)
B. Tóth
Tom Atcheson
H. Carter
S. McLoughlin
R. Alebiosu
Sam Morsy
Kristi Montgomery
H. Pickering
R. Morishita
O. Afolayan
T. Cantwell
Player Ratings ?
Bristol City
L. EissatD7.4
S. GreenwoodM6.9
R. AtkinsonD6.9
Blackburn
O. AfolayanM8.0
S. McLoughlinD7.7
B. TóthG7.5
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Bristol City edge recent form, defence and head-to-head, attack is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Bristol City stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Closely matched
HomeAway
Defence
Bristol City stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Bristol City stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Blackburn have managed just one win from their last five away outings across seasons, while Bristol City boast three victories in their corresponding home sample of that same length. Bristol City have found the net in three of their last five home matches but have only kept two clean sheets in that identical span. The hosts face one confirmed absence and two doubts, whereas Blackburn arrive with six confirmed absences alongside a further player marked as doubtful. Bristol City rate stronger on form, defence and head-to-head, while attack is closely matched. Bristol City won the most recent meeting 2-1 on 24 February 2026, having won 3 of the last 5 encounters to Blackburn's 2, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 2-day comparison window, Bristol City's implied win probability has fallen by 2.1 percentage points, while Blackburn's implied win probability has risen by 1.2 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift away from Bristol City
Bristol City's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Bristol City win as less likely than it did 2 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Bristol City win
Latest market chance 45.7%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
47.8% → 45.7%
−2.1 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 27.8%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
26.8% → 27.8%
+1.0 pts
Blackburn win
Latest market chance 26.6%
Slight shortening
Market chance increased
25.4% → 26.6%
+1.2 pts
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 2 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Bristol CityBlackburn
Season Profile
This season
11th
League Position
13th
9
Games Played
9
1.56
Points/Game
1.33
1.33
Goals/Game
1.56
1.44
Conceded/Game
1.44
13.1
Shots/Game
10.9
4.3
Shots on Target
3.7
Home vs Away Context
Bristol City at home (8 matches) vs Blackburn away (7 matches)
0.75
Points/Game
0.86
0.50
Goals/Game
1.14
1.62
Conceded/Game
1.86
25%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Bristol City
Home form
W
L
W
L
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1 of these match from last season.
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Blackburn
Away form
W
D
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Bristol City Wins
3
Draws
0
Blackburn Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.0
Blackburn1 – 2Bristol City
Bristol City0 – 1Blackburn
Bristol City2 – 1Blackburn
Blackburn3 – 0Bristol City
Bristol City5 – 0Blackburn
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Bristol Cityvs
Blackburn
Recent Scoring Profile
1.40
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded / game
1.40
5/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
6/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 50.7%→Latest 49.7%−1.0 pts
Slight move away from 3+ goals
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 53.9%→Latest 53.6%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
1 of Bristol City's 10 matches and 1 of Blackburn's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
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