Blackburn vs Wrexham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ewood Park
Sat 24 Oct 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.79
Draw
3.26
Away Win
2.68
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Blackburn
Wrexham
Harry Pickering 🟨
16'
27'
🟨 Dominic Hyam
Andri Guðjohnsen ⚽
44'
45'
🟨 Matty James
Sam Morsy 🟨
65'
Andri Guðjohnsen (Todd Cantwell) ⚽
79'
Todd Cantwell 🟨
80'
Match Statistics ?
44%
Ball Possession
56%
16
Total Shots
24
5
Shots on Goal
1
7
Corner Kicks
9
11
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
3
0
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
B. Tóth
R. Alebiosu
H. Carter
S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering
Sam Morsy
M. Baradji
J. Fevrier
T. Cantwell
O. Afolayan
A. Guðjohnsen
Wrexham (3-4-2-1)
A. Patterson
J. Worrall
D. Hyam
C. Doyle
I. Kaboré
M. James
B. Whiteman
J. Ekomié
S. Smith
C. O'Hare
K. Moore
Player Ratings ?
Blackburn
A. GuðjohnsenF8.9
T. CantwellM7.7
Sam MorsyM7.0
Wrexham
J. EkomiéM6.9
C. DoyleD6.8
K. MooreF6.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Blackburn edge recent form, attack and defence, Wrexham edge head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Blackburn slightly stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Blackburn stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Blackburn slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Wrexham stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Blackburn have secured three victories from their last five home outings, while Wrexham have managed just a single win in five away fixtures. The Eddies have found the net in each of their last five matches at home but have kept no clean sheets in that same run. Both sides carry significant injury concerns ahead of the clash, with Blackburn having five players out and one doubtful, while Wrexham face six absences alongside another player in doubt. Blackburn rate stronger on attack, with a slight advantage in form and defence, while Wrexham rate stronger on head-to-head. Wrexham won the most recent meeting 2-0 on 1 January 2026, having won 1 of the last 2 encounters to Blackburn's 0, with 1 ending level; the fixture has averaged 2.0 goals per meeting. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Blackburn win
Latest market chance 34.5%
Steady
Market view unchanged
34.5% → 34.5%
±0.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 29.7%
Steady
Market view unchanged
29.7% → 29.7%
±0.0 pts
Wrexham win
Latest market chance 35.8%
Steady
Market view unchanged
35.8% → 35.8%
±0.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Blackburn
Draw
Wrexham
9 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BlackburnWrexham
Season Profile
This season
10th
League Position
14th
11
Games Played
11
1.36
Points/Game
1.27
1.55
Goals/Game
1.36
1.45
Conceded/Game
1.45
10.9
Shots/Game
12.0
3.7
Shots on Target
3.4
Home vs Away Context
Blackburn at home (8 matches) vs Wrexham away (7 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
0.86
1.75
Goals/Game
0.71
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.57
62%
Win Rate
14%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Blackburn
Home form
W
L
L
W
W
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Wrexham
Away form
D
W
D
L
D
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.6
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Blackburn Wins
0
Draws
1
Wrexham Wins
1
Avg Goals
2.0
Blackburn0 – 2Wrexham
Wrexham1 – 1Blackburn
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Blackburnvs
Wrexham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
1.40
1.40
Goals conceded / game
1.50
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
6/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
1/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 44.2%→Latest 44.2%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 51.1%→Latest 51.1%±0.0 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?