Blackburn vs West Ham Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Ewood Park
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 15:00 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
5.09
Draw
4.36
Away Win
1.63
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 1
Match Events ?
Blackburn
West Ham
Gady Beyuku 🟨
34'
Andri Guðjohnsen (J. Fevrier) ⚽
54'
Kristi Montgomery 🟨
67'
Oladapo Afolayan (Yuki Ohashi) ⚽
71'
72'
🟨 Maximilian Kilman
82'
⚽ Joel Piroe (Taty Castellanos)
86'
🟨 Arne Engels
Augustus Kargbo 🟨
87'
Match Statistics ?
36%
Ball Possession
64%
5
Total Shots
21
3
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
9
16
Fouls
8
3
Yellow Cards
2
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
0
4
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Blackburn (4-2-3-1)
B. Tóth
Gady Beyuku
H. Carter
S. McLoughlin
H. Pickering
Sam Morsy
Kristi Montgomery
J. Fevrier
T. Cantwell
O. Afolayan
A. Guðjohnsen
West Ham (4-4-1-1)
M. Hermansen
J. Veltman
K. Mavropanos
M. Kilman
Ezra Mayers
J. Bowen
D. Mukasa
A. Engels
E. Austbö
M. Kanté
J. Piroe
Player Ratings ?
Blackburn
A. GuðjohnsenF7.7
J. FevrierM7.2
B. TóthG7.0
West Ham
J. PiroeF7.5
V. CastellanosF7.0
Ezra MayersD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. West Ham edge recent form, attack and defence, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Attack
West Ham stronger
HomeAway
Defence
West Ham slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
West Ham arrive with an impressive away record of three wins and two draws from their last five outings, while Blackburn have secured three victories but suffered two defeats in the same number of home fixtures. The hosts have scored in every one of their last five matches at home yet have only managed to keep a clean sheet once during that identical run. West Ham rate stronger on form and attack, with a slight advantage in defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. This is the first time these two sides have met in the league since 2011. The market has remained broadly steady over the 4-day comparison window, with little change in either side's implied win probability. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Little change in the market
The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 4 days before kickoff.
Movement strength: Steady
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Blackburn win
Latest market chance 19.0%
Steady
Market view unchanged
19.3% → 19.0%
−0.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 22.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
22.7% → 22.6%
−0.1 pts
West Ham win
Latest market chance 58.4%
Steady
Market view unchanged
57.9% → 58.4%
+0.5 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Blackburn
Draw
West Ham
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 4 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
BlackburnWest Ham
Season Profile
This season
14th
League Position
8th
14
Games Played
14
1.29
Points/Game
1.64
1.43
Goals/Game
2.57
1.57
Conceded/Game
1.50
10.9
Shots/Game
17.3
3.7
Shots on Target
6.6
Home vs Away Context
Blackburn at home (8 matches) vs West Ham away (8 matches)
1.88
Points/Game
1.62
1.75
Goals/Game
2.38
1.25
Conceded/Game
1.50
62%
Win Rate
38%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Blackburn
Home form
L
W
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
West Ham
Away form
W
D
W
W
D
Unbeaten in last 5 away
3.0
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Blackburn Wins
0
Draws
5
West Ham Wins
0
Avg Goals
1.2
West Ham1 – 1Blackburn
Blackburn1 – 1West Ham
West Ham0 – 0Blackburn
Blackburn0 – 0West Ham
Blackburn1 – 1West Ham
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Blackburnvs
West Ham
Recent Scoring Profile
1.50
Goals scored / game
2.80
1.70
Goals conceded / game
1.40
8/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
8/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
6/10
1/10
Failed to Score
0/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 7 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 58.1%→Latest 60.3%+2.2 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 57.1%→Latest 58.5%+1.4 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?