Werder Bremen vs Hoffenheim Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
Weser-Stadion
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
2.70
Draw
3.99
Away Win
2.42
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 0
Match Events ?
Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim
Niclas Füllkrug (Karl Hein) ⚽
57'
Marco Friedl 🟨
60'
Eren Dinkci (Marco Grüll) ⚽
82'
Arthur Augusto de Matos Soares 🟨
90+2'
Youri Regeer 🟨
90+2'
Match Statistics ?
41%
Ball Possession
59%
17
Total Shots
16
4
Shots on Goal
2
8
Corner Kicks
4
11
Fouls
11
3
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
1
1
Goalkeeper Saves
2
Starting Lineups
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
K. Hein
Arthur
A. Pieper
M. Friedl
O. Deman
L. Reis
Y. Regeer
M. Weiser
Chuky San José
M. Grüll
N. Füllkrug
Hoffenheim (3-5-2)
O. Baumann
O. Kabak
K. Machida
M. Rots
Natnael Abraha
A. Kramarić
L. Avdullahu
W. Burger
A. Daghim
A. Hložek
F. Asllani
Player Ratings ?
Werder Bremen
N. FüllkrugF8.2
M. GrüllM7.7
E. DinkçiF7.7
Hoffenheim
O. KabakD7.0
A. HložekF6.9
K. MachidaD6.8
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Werder Bremen edge attack, Hoffenheim edge defence and head-to-head, recent form is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Closely matched
HomeAway
Attack
Werder Bremen slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Hoffenheim slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Hoffenheim stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Hoffenheim have recorded two wins from their last five away outings, while Werder Bremen have secured two victories and a draw in their last five home fixtures. Werder Bremen have scored in four of their last five matches at home but have managed zero clean sheets during the same period. The hosts face eight confirmed absences, while Hoffenheim will be without five players for this Bundesliga encounter. Werder Bremen hold a slight advantage in attack, while Hoffenheim rate stronger on head-to-head, with a slight advantage in defence, while form is closely matched. Hoffenheim won the most recent meeting 1-0 on 9 May 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to Werder Bremen's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.4 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Werder Bremen's implied win probability has risen by 3.0 percentage points, while Hoffenheim's implied win probability has fallen by 2.9 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift towards Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Werder Bremen win as more likely than it did 8 days ago. Hoffenheim remain the clear market favourite.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Werder Bremen win
Latest market chance 35.5%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
32.5% → 35.5%
+3.0 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 24.2%
Steady
Market view unchanged
24.3% → 24.2%
−0.1 pts
Hoffenheim win
Latest market chance 40.3%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
43.2% → 40.3%
−2.9 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Werder Bremen
Draw
Hoffenheim
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Werder BremenHoffenheim
Season Profile
This season
7th
League Position
10th
7
Games Played
7
1.71
Points/Game
1.29
2.14
Goals/Game
2.00
2.00
Conceded/Game
2.00
15.7
Shots/Game
17.6
6.4
Shots on Target
5.2
Home vs Away Context
Werder Bremen at home (4 matches) vs Hoffenheim away (5 matches)
2.50
Points/Game
1.20
2.50
Goals/Game
1.40
1.25
Conceded/Game
2.00
75%
Win Rate
40%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Werder Bremen
Home form
L
L
W
W
D
2W 1D 2L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Hoffenheim
Away form
L
L
L
W
W
Lost 3 of last 5 away
1 of these match from last season.
1.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.4
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Werder Bremen Wins
1
Draws
0
Hoffenheim Wins
4
Avg Goals
3.4
Hoffenheim1 – 0Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen0 – 2Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen1 – 3Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim3 – 4Werder Bremen
Hoffenheim2 – 1Werder Bremen
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Werder Bremenvs
Hoffenheim
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.90
1.90
Goals conceded / game
1.90
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
8/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 66.8%→Latest 68.1%+1.3 pts
Slight move towards 3+ goals
Most of this movement happened in the most recent snapshot, not spread evenly.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 67.9%→Latest 68.9%+1.0 pts
Slight move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
2 of Werder Bremen's 10 matches and 1 of Hoffenheim's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?