Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Head to Head | Bundesliga

Match Prediction

No clear statistical edge

The matchup is mixed. Werder Bremen edge recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Werder Bremen slightly stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Werder Bremen stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Werder Bremen stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Werder Bremen stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Werder Bremen win

Latest market chance 55.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

55.1% → 55.0%

−0.1 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 23.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.1% → 23.1%

±0.0 pts

Hamburg win

Latest market chance 21.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

21.8% → 21.9%

+0.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

6 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Werder Bremen

Draw

Hamburg

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Werder Bremen

Hamburg

Season Profile

This season

6th

League Position

11th

Games Played

1.67

Points/Game

1.33

1.89

Goals/Game

1.11

1.67

Conceded/Game

2.22

15.7

Shots/Game

11.7

6.4

Shots on Target

3.9

Home vs Away Context

Werder Bremen at home (4 matches) vs Hamburg away (6 matches)

2.50

Points/Game

0.50

2.50

Goals/Game

0.83

1.25

Conceded/Game

2.67

75%

Win Rate

17%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Werder Bremen

Home form

Won 3 of last 5 at home

1 of these match from last season.

2.0

Goals scored
per match

1.4

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Hamburg

Away form

Lost 3 straight away

1.0

Goals scored
per match

2.8

Goals conceded
per match

3/5

Scored in
last 5

0/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Werder Bremen Wins

Draws

Hamburg Wins

Avg Goals

3.4

2026-04-182025-2026

Werder Bremen3 – 1Hamburg

2025-12-072025-2026

Hamburg3 – 2Werder Bremen

2022-02-272021-2022

Hamburg2 – 3Werder Bremen

2021-09-182021-2022

Werder Bremen0 – 2Hamburg

2018-02-242017-2018

Werder Bremen1 – 0Hamburg

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Werder Bremen

Hamburg

Recent Scoring Profile

1.90

Goals scored / game

1.10

1.70

Goals conceded / game

2.30

7/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

7/10

8/10

Both Teams Scored

5/10

1/10

Failed to Score

4/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

82.3%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

62.0%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

41.0%

BTTSBoth teams score

61.3%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 6 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 62.4%→Latest 62.0%−0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

5 common bookmakers · first comparable 16 days before kickoff

The market is more cautious on 3+ goals than both teams' recent records.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 60.9%→Latest 60.5%−0.4 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 16 days before kickoff

Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Werder Bremen vs Hamburg Head to Head, Prediction