Stuttgart vs Werder Bremen Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MHP Arena
Sat 07 Nov 2026 · 17:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.69
Draw
4.69
Away Win
4.38
Match Report
Full Time
1 – 0
Match Events ?
Stuttgart
Werder Bremen
Maximilian Mittelstädt (Grischa Prömel) ⚽
7'
24'
🟨 Niclas Füllkrug
45'
🟨 Olivier Deman
53'
🟨 Marco Grüll
Match Statistics ?
43%
Ball Possession
57%
13
Total Shots
23
5
Shots on Goal
5
4
Corner Kicks
4
6
Fouls
8
0
Yellow Cards
3
0
Red Cards
0
0
Offsides
2
5
Goalkeeper Saves
4
Starting Lineups
Stuttgart (3-4-2-1)
D. Seimen
L. Jaquez
J. Chabot
R. Hendriks
J. Leweling
G. Prömel
Y. Spalt
M. Mittelstädt
B. El Khannouss
C. Führich
D. Undav
Werder Bremen (4-2-3-1)
K. Hein
Arthur
A. Pieper
M. Friedl
O. Deman
Y. Regeer
S. Lynen
E. Dinkçi
L. Reis
M. Grüll
N. Füllkrug
Player Ratings ?
Stuttgart
M. MittelstädtM8.2
D. SeimenG7.6
G. PrömelM7.2
Werder Bremen
K. HeinG7.8
A. PieperD7.1
O. DemanD6.9
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
No clear statistical edge
The matchup is mixed. Stuttgart edge attack and defence, Werder Bremen edge recent form, head-to-head is closely matched, so the data does not point to one clear overall winner.
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Werder Bremen stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stuttgart slightly stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stuttgart slightly stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Closely matched
HomeAway
Match Analysis
Werder Bremen have secured just one win from their last five away outings, while Stuttgart have suffered three defeats in their last five home fixtures. Stuttgart have found the net in four of their last five matches at home but remain without a clean sheet in that same sample. Werder Bremen rate stronger on form, while Stuttgart hold a slight advantage in attack and defence, while head-to-head is closely matched. The most recent meeting, on 26 April 2026, ended level, with 2 of the last 5 encounters drawn overall; the fixture has averaged 3.2 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Stuttgart's implied win probability has fallen by 6.3 percentage points, while Werder Bremen's implied win probability has risen by 4.1 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison shows no clear edge between the sides.
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Strong shift away from Stuttgart
Stuttgart's odds have drifted, meaning the market now rates a Stuttgart win as less likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Strong
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stuttgart win
Latest market chance 57.1%
Strong drift
Market chance decreased
63.4% → 57.1%
−6.3 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 21.1%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
18.9% → 21.1%
+2.2 pts
Werder Bremen win
Latest market chance 21.8%
Strong shortening
Market chance increased
17.7% → 21.8%
+4.1 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stuttgart
Draw
Werder Bremen
10 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StuttgartWerder Bremen
Season Profile
This season
12th
League Position
5th
8
Games Played
8
1.13
Points/Game
1.88
1.75
Goals/Game
2.12
1.88
Conceded/Game
1.75
16.2
Shots/Game
15.7
5.8
Shots on Target
6.4
Home vs Away Context
Stuttgart at home (5 matches) vs Werder Bremen away (6 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
1.00
1.80
Goals/Game
1.50
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.00
40%
Win Rate
17%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stuttgart
Home form
W
W
L
L
L
Lost 3 straight at home
1 of these match from last season.
2.2
Goals scored
per match
per match
1.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
Werder Bremen
Away form
L
D
D
D
W
1W 3D 1L in last 5 away
1.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
2.2
Goals conceded
per match
per match
5/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stuttgart Wins
1
Draws
2
Werder Bremen Wins
2
Avg Goals
3.2
Stuttgart1 – 1Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen0 – 4Stuttgart
Stuttgart1 – 2Werder Bremen
Werder Bremen2 – 2Stuttgart
Werder Bremen2 – 1Stuttgart
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stuttgartvs
Werder Bremen
Recent Scoring Profile
1.80
Goals scored / game
1.90
2.00
Goals conceded / game
1.80
7/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
7/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
8/10
2/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.8%→Latest 71.3%−0.5 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 65.6%→Latest 68.4%+2.8 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.
1 of Stuttgart's 10 matches and 1 of Werder Bremen's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?