Stuttgart vs M'gladbach Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
MHP Arena
Fri 23 Oct 2026 · 19:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
1.35
Draw
5.96
Away Win
7.63
Match Report
Full Time
2 – 3
Match Events ?
Stuttgart
M'gladbach
Ermedin Demirović (Dženan Pejčinović) ⚽
5'
38'
⚽ Joe Scally (Zento Uno)
Leo Sauer 🟨
44'
Atakan Karazor 🟨
45'
45+3'
🟨 Florian Neuhaus
51'
⚽ Shuto Machino (Wael Mohya)
53'
🟨 Zento Uno
54'
🟨 Joe Scally
66'
⚽ Wael Mohya (Joe Scally)
79'
🟨 Lukas Ullrich
Ermedin Demirović (Jamie Leweling) ⚽
83'
Match Statistics ?
70%
Ball Possession
30%
15
Total Shots
16
5
Shots on Goal
6
6
Corner Kicks
5
9
Fouls
14
2
Yellow Cards
4
0
Red Cards
0
2
Offsides
2
2
Goalkeeper Saves
3
Starting Lineups
Stuttgart (4-2-3-1)
D. Seimen
L. Assignon
Finn Jeltsch
R. Hendriks
M. Mittelstädt
A. Stiller
A. Karazor
L. Sauer
D. Pejčinović
C. Führich
E. Demirović
M'gladbach (3-4-2-1)
M. Nicolas
D. Hashioka
P. Sander
F. Chiarodia
J. Scally
Z. Uno
F. Neuhaus
L. Ullrich
H. Bolin
W. Mohya
S. Machino
Player Ratings ?
Stuttgart
E. DemirovićF8.1
C. FührichM7.2
M. MittelstädtD6.8
M'gladbach
W. MohyaM8.5
S. MachinoF7.7
J. ScallyM7.7
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
Stuttgart
Stuttgart rate stronger across every major category. They lead recent form, attack, defence and head-to-head, giving Stuttgart an edge.
Leads 4 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Attack
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
Stuttgart stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
M'gladbach arrive with a poor away record of five defeats from their last five visits, while Stuttgart have secured three victories and a draw from their last five home outings. At home, Stuttgart have scored in four of their last five matches but have kept just one clean sheet during the same period. Stuttgart face five confirmed absences ahead of the match, whereas M'gladbach will be without nine players from their squad. Stuttgart rate stronger on form, attack, defence and head-to-head. Stuttgart won the most recent meeting 3-0 on 25 January 2026, having won 4 of the last 5 encounters to M'gladbach's 1, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 3.0 goals per meeting. Over the 11-day comparison window, Stuttgart's implied win probability has risen by 2.6 percentage points, while M'gladbach's implied win probability has fallen by 1.4 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours Stuttgart.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
6
M'gladbach losing run
53%
M'gladbach yellow cards after 75'
0
M'gladbach points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards Stuttgart
Stuttgart's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a Stuttgart win as more likely than it did 11 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Stuttgart win
Latest market chance 69.8%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
67.2% → 69.8%
+2.6 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 17.2%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
18.4% → 17.2%
−1.2 pts
M'gladbach win
Latest market chance 13.0%
Slight drift
Market chance decreased
14.4% → 13.0%
−1.4 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Stuttgart
Draw
M'gladbach
5 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 11 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
StuttgartM'gladbach
Season Profile
This season
13th
League Position
18th
6
Games Played
6
1.00
Points/Game
0.00
1.33
Goals/Game
1.33
1.67
Conceded/Game
3.33
16.2
Shots/Game
15.3
5.8
Shots on Target
4.8
Home vs Away Context
Stuttgart at home (5 matches) vs M'gladbach away (7 matches)
1.20
Points/Game
0.86
1.80
Goals/Game
1.29
1.60
Conceded/Game
2.71
40%
Win Rate
29%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Stuttgart
Home form
W
D
W
W
L
Won 3 of last 5 at home
3 of these matches from last season.
2.4
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
1/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
M'gladbach
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
1 of these match from last season.
0.6
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.0
Goals conceded
per match
per match
3/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Stuttgart Wins
4
Draws
0
M'gladbach Wins
1
Avg Goals
3.0
M'gladbach0 – 3Stuttgart
Stuttgart1 – 0M'gladbach
Stuttgart1 – 2M'gladbach
M'gladbach1 – 3Stuttgart
Stuttgart4 – 0M'gladbach
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Stuttgartvs
M'gladbach
Recent Scoring Profile
1.70
Goals scored / game
1.50
1.70
Goals conceded / game
2.70
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
10/10
7/10
Both Teams Scored
7/10
2/10
Failed to Score
2/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 71.7%→Latest 73.7%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards 3+ goals
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 62.5%→Latest 64.5%+2.0 pts
Notable move towards both teams scoring
This has been a steady, gradual move, not a single jump.
The market is more cautious on both teams scoring than both teams' recent records.
4 of Stuttgart's 10 matches and 2 of M'gladbach's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?