Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart Head to Head | Bundesliga

Match Prediction

Data favours

Stuttgart

Stuttgart rate stronger in recent form and attack; Schalke 04 edge defence and head-to-head, giving Stuttgart a slight edge.

Leads 2 of 4 major categories

Statistical Edge

No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong

How They Compare

Recent Form

Stuttgart stronger

HomeAway

Attack

Stuttgart stronger

HomeAway

Defence

Schalke 04 slightly stronger

HomeAway

Head-to-Head

Schalke 04 stronger

HomeAway

Market View

How the betting market has changed its view of this match

Market direction

Little change in the market

The betting market's view of this match has barely moved since the earliest comparable snapshot, 14 days before kickoff.

Movement strength: Steady

Match odds movement

Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest

Schalke 04 win

Latest market chance 25.0%

Steady

Market view unchanged

24.9% → 25.0%

+0.1 pts

Draw

Latest market chance 23.1%

Steady

Market view unchanged

23.1% → 23.1%

±0.0 pts

Stuttgart win

Latest market chance 51.9%

Steady

Market view unchanged

52.0% → 51.9%

−0.1 pts

Movement over time

Change vs first comparable snapshot

7 snapshots

Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.

Schalke 04

Draw

Stuttgart

7 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 14 days before kickoff

Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.

Team Comparison

Schalke 04

Stuttgart

Season Profile

This season

17th

League Position

8th

Games Played

0.67

Points/Game

1.33

0.56

Goals/Game

1.67

1.22

Conceded/Game

1.67

11.0

Shots/Game

16.2

3.2

Shots on Target

5.8

Home vs Away Context

Schalke 04 at home (4 matches) vs Stuttgart away (5 matches)

0.50

Points/Game

1.20

0.00

Goals/Game

1.60

0.75

Conceded/Game

2.00

Win Rate

40%

Recent Form

Last 5 home / away matches

Schalke 04

Home form

Winless in last 5 at home

1 of these match from last season.

0.4

Goals scored
per match

1.0

Goals conceded
per match

1/5

Scored in
last 5

2/5

Clean
sheets

Stuttgart

Away form

Lost 3 of last 5 away

1.6

Goals scored
per match

2.0

Goals conceded
per match

4/5

Scored in
last 5

1/5

Clean
sheets

Head-to-Head History

Last 5 meetings

Schalke 04 Wins

Draws

Stuttgart Wins

Avg Goals

2.6

2023-02-252022-2023

Schalke 042 – 1Stuttgart

2022-09-032022-2023

Stuttgart1 – 1Schalke 04

2021-02-272020-2021

Stuttgart5 – 1Schalke 04

2020-10-302020-2021

Schalke 041 – 1Stuttgart

2019-05-182018-2019

Schalke 040 – 0Stuttgart

Goals & Scoring Trends

Last 10 matches, any venue

Schalke 04

Stuttgart

Recent Scoring Profile

0.70

Goals scored / game

1.70

1.20

Goals conceded / game

1.80

5/10

3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)

6/10

5/10

Both Teams Scored

6/10

5/10

Failed to Score

2/10

Market Goal Expectation

2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)

83.0%

3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)

65.3%

4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)

45.1%

BTTSBoth teams score

64.8%

Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 5 bookmakers.

3+ Goals (Over 2.5)

First comparable 65.2%→Latest 65.2%±0.0 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

3 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

The market is pricing a higher chance of 3+ goals than either team's recent rate.

Both Teams To Score

First comparable 64.5%→Latest 64.8%+0.3 pts

Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot

4 common bookmakers · first comparable 19 days before kickoff

Current market expectation is broadly in line with both teams' recent rates.

Match Poll

Who do you think wins?

Schalke 04 vs Stuttgart Head to Head, Prediction