Schalke 04 vs RB Leipzig Head to Head, Prediction & Match Analysis
VELTINS-Arena
Sat 31 Oct 2026 · 14:30 UK
Odds at Kickoff
Home Win
4.28
Draw
3.90
Away Win
1.83
Match Report
Full Time
0 – 2
Match Events ?
Schalke 04
RB Leipzig
37'
⚽ (P) Antonio Nusa
Timo Becker 🟨
51'
78'
⚽ Rômulo José Cardoso da Cruz (Antonio Nusa)
Adil Aouchiche 🟨
86'
Match Statistics ?
40%
Ball Possession
60%
6
Total Shots
18
1
Shots on Goal
10
3
Corner Kicks
7
16
Fouls
16
2
Yellow Cards
0
0
Red Cards
0
1
Offsides
4
8
Goalkeeper Saves
1
Starting Lineups
Schalke 04 (4-3-2-1)
L. Karius
T. Becker
N. Katić
H. Kuruçay
Vitalie Becker
S. Tanaka
M. Ayhan
A. Aouchiche
J. Adamu
K. Karaman
Hwang Hee-Chan
RB Leipzig (4-5-1)
M. Vandevoordt
B. Henrichs
W. Orbán
C. Lukeba
D. Raum
B. Gruda
R. Reitz
N. El Aynaoui
E. Banzuzi
A. Nusa
Rômulo
Player Ratings ?
Schalke 04
L. KariusG7.9
N. KatićD6.7
H. KuruçayD6.7
RB Leipzig
A. NusaM7.7
RômuloF7.7
D. RaumD7.2
Before Kickoff
Match Prediction
Data favours
RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig rate stronger in recent form, attack and head-to-head; Schalke 04 edge defence, giving RB Leipzig an edge.
Leads 3 of 4 major categories
Statistical Edge
No clearSlightEdgeStrongV.strong
How They Compare
Recent Form
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Attack
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Defence
Schalke 04 stronger
HomeAway
Head-to-Head
RB Leipzig stronger
HomeAway
Match Analysis
RB Leipzig have endured a difficult away run with five defeats in their last five outings, whereas Schalke 04 look steadier at home having recorded just one loss and three draws from the same sample size. Schalke 04 have found the net in two of their last five home matches while also keeping a clean sheet on two occasions during that identical period. The hosts face seven players unavailable for selection, while the visitors have three teammates out of their squad. RB Leipzig rate stronger on form, attack and head-to-head, while Schalke 04 rate stronger on defence. RB Leipzig won the most recent meeting 4-2 on 27 May 2023, having won 5 of the last 5 encounters to Schalke 04's 0, with 0 ending level; the fixture has averaged 5.0 goals per meeting. Over the 8-day comparison window, Schalke 04's implied win probability has fallen by 1.7 percentage points, while RB Leipzig's implied win probability has risen by 2.0 percentage points. The overall statistical comparison favours RB Leipzig.
Pre-Match Context
Notable Numbers
50%
Schalke 04 yellow cards after 75'
0
RB Leipzig points from last 5 matches
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Market View
How the betting market has changed its view of this match
Market direction
Notable shift towards RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig's odds have shortened, meaning the market now rates a RB Leipzig win as more likely than it did 8 days ago.
Movement strength: Notable
Match odds movement
Consensus market-implied chance, first comparable snapshot → latest
Schalke 04 win
Latest market chance 24.5%
Notable drift
Market chance decreased
26.2% → 24.5%
−1.7 pts
Draw
Latest market chance 23.6%
Steady
Market view unchanged
23.9% → 23.6%
−0.3 pts
RB Leipzig win
Latest market chance 51.9%
Notable shortening
Market chance increased
49.9% → 51.9%
+2.0 pts
Percentage-point change in market-implied chance. Positive = market moved towards the outcome.
Schalke 04
Draw
RB Leipzig
8 common bookmakers compared at each snapshot · First comparable snapshot 8 days before kickoff
Odds shortening means the market is pricing an outcome as more likely than before; drifting means less likely. It does not tell us why the market moved or whether the new price represents value.
Team Comparison
Schalke 04RB Leipzig
Season Profile
This season
16th
League Position
6th
7
Games Played
7
0.86
Points/Game
1.71
0.57
Goals/Game
2.86
1.00
Conceded/Game
1.57
11.0
Shots/Game
17.2
3.2
Shots on Target
6.9
Home vs Away Context
Schalke 04 at home (4 matches) vs RB Leipzig away (4 matches)
0.50
Points/Game
0.75
0.00
Goals/Game
1.00
0.75
Conceded/Game
2.75
0%
Win Rate
25%
Recent Form
Last 5 home / away matches
Schalke 04
Home form
W
D
D
D
L
1W 3D 1L in last 5 at home
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
0.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
2/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
2/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
VS
RB Leipzig
Away form
L
L
L
L
L
Lost 5 straight away
2 of these matches from last season.
0.8
Goals scored
per match
per match
3.8
Goals conceded
per match
per match
4/5
Scored in
last 5
last 5
0/5
Clean
sheets
sheets
Head-to-Head History
Last 5 meetings
Schalke 04 Wins
0
Draws
0
RB Leipzig Wins
5
Avg Goals
5.0
RB Leipzig4 – 2Schalke 04
Schalke 041 – 6RB Leipzig
Schalke 040 – 3RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig4 – 0Schalke 04
Schalke 040 – 5RB Leipzig
Goals & Scoring Trends
Last 10 matches, any venue
Schalke 04vs
RB Leipzig
Recent Scoring Profile
0.90
Goals scored / game
2.40
1.50
Goals conceded / game
2.00
6/10
3+ goals in match(Over 2.5)
9/10
5/10
Both Teams Scored
5/10
5/10
Failed to Score
1/10
Market Goal Expectation
2+2+ goals(Over 1.5)
3+3+ goals(Over 2.5)
4+4+ goals(Over 3.5)
BTTSBoth teams score
Market-implied probabilities after removing bookmaker margin. Consensus across up to 8 bookmakers.
3+ Goals (Over 2.5)
First comparable 65.8%→Latest 65.5%−0.3 pts
Steady — little change since the first comparable snapshot
Current market expectation sits between the two teams' recent rates.
Both Teams To Score
First comparable 66.6%→Latest 65.7%−0.9 pts
Slight move away from both teams scoring
The market is pricing a higher chance of both teams scoring than either team's recent rate.
2 of Schalke 04's 10 matches and 3 of RB Leipzig's 10 matches are from last season.
Match Poll
Who do you think wins?